AFCON 2022 team scenario: How each national team can advance to the Round of 16

If you’ve watched international soccer tournaments, the final day of group stage matches, with matches taking place simultaneously, can provide unique entertainment. With names like Algeria, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Egypt, Tunisia and Senegal all participating in the round of 16, the qualification for the AFCON 2022 group stage will be very high.

With how shaky things have been before at most AFCON teams, fans will need this helpful multi-monitor option and scenario guide. SN ran through all permutations.

Of course, the tiebreak rules will take effect if two or more teams end up with points in the final group standings. A group of one (Group E) can draw three sides; Other potential rankings would involve only two teams. Below is a short list of those who decide the draw when the two teams are equal on points, as set forth in the official competition rules (Page 31):

  1. Most of the points are obtained in matches between the two teams;
  2. Goal difference in all group stage matches;
  3. Score the most goals in all group stage matches;
  4. Draw (i.e. random draw).

With that in mind, here’s the scenario for each team heading into the final day of competition. The coming days at AFCON 2022 will be exciting.

Group A situations

1. Cameroon-X 7 3 2 0 first 7 3 +4
2. Burkina Faso-X 4 3 first first first 3 3 0
3. Cape Verde 4 3 first first first 2 2 0
4. Ethiopia-E first 3 0 2 first 2 6 -4

X = Qualify for Round 16 | E = Removed

With two draws to close Group A on Monday, no position has changed.

Hosts Cameroon need just one point in their last group game to claim the top spot and get it. The indomitable Lions will have a week before the start of their knockout adventure on January 24.

Burkina Faso will join them in the Round of 16 after finishing even on points with Cape Verde but winning the first tiebreak (getting the most points in inter-team games) thanks to a 1-0 win over Cape Verdeans. .

But with 4 points in the group stage, Cape Verde completely has the opportunity to continue as one of the four best runners-up in the group. It needs to wait for all the other groups to close before detecting it.

Scenario group B

1. Senegal 4 2 first 0 first first 0 +1
2. Guinea 4 2 first 0 first first 0 +1
3. Malawi 3 2 first first 0 2 2 0
4. Zimbabwe-E 0 2 0 2 0 first 3 -2

X = Qualify for Round 16 | E = Removed

Day Competition Time (ET) TV / Stream
Tuesday, January 18 Malawi vs. Senegal 11 a.m beIN XTRA / fuboTV
Tuesday, January 18 Zimbabwe vs. Guinea 11 a.m beIN CONNECT

Anything can happen in Group B with the top three teams one point apart.

What is certain is that if Senegal and Guinea win the finals of their respective groups, they will go on to be No. 1 and No. 2. Another slip from Senegal will open the door for Guinea to qualify for the group. .

But Malawi can surprise everyone and win the group with a shock win over Senegal along with a draw or loss to Guinea.

Last place Zimbabwe can only play spoiler at this point. Even a win will only bring the score to Malawi, but Zimbabwe will lose that draw based on head-to-head record (won Malawi 2-1).

Scenario C

1. Morocco-X 6 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3
2. Gabon 4 2 first 0 first 2 first +1
3. Ghana first 2 0 first first first 2 -first
4. Comoros 0 2 0 2 0 0 3 -3

X = Qualify for Round 16 | E = Removed

Day Competition Time (ET) TV / Stream
Tuesday, January 18 Gabon vs. Morocco 2 p.m be in sports / fuboTV
Tuesday, January 18 Ghana vs. Comoros 2 p.m beIN XTRA / fuboTV

Morocco has destiny in their hands as they face second-placed Gabon knowing that a win or draw will secure the top spot.

However, a Gabon win would take Gabonese past as the top team and knock Morocco down to second place. The group runner-up will have a meeting on Sunday with Burkina Faso to open the AFCON Round of 16.

But Gabon could also fall to third place. If Ghana wins the match by a wide enough margin and Gabon loses, that will leave Gabon and Ghana tied with 4 points. In that case, group runner-up will take into account the second win (overall goal difference) since the first win – the group head-to-head match – ended even (1-1 draw).

The final place Comoros is still dreaming. It has to beat Ghana in favor and then hope that results in the other groups come to an end as one of the four best third place teams.

EASY Team Scenario

1. Nigeria-X 6 2 2 0 0 4 first +3
2. Egypt 3 2 first first 0 first first 0
3. Guinea-Bissau first 2 0 first first 0 first -first
4. Sudan first 2 0 first first first 3 -2

X = Qualify for Round 16 | E = Removed

Day Competition Time (ET) TV & Streams
Wednesday, January 19 Guinea-Bissau vs. Nigeria 2 p.m be in sports / fuboTV
Wednesday, January 19 Egypt vs Sudan 2 p.m beIN XTRA / fuboTV

Nigeria came through as the first team since they were on a draw (1-0 Egypt) in case the Pharaohs managed to catch the Super Eagles on the leaderboard on the final day.

Since Nigeria has nothing left to play, that could present an opportunity for Guinea-Bissau which normally never dreamed of a win over the fancy Super Eagles. A four-point finish for Guinea-Bissau would give them a chance to be one of the best third-place teams. And an astounding Egypt loss to Sudan would see Guinea-Bissau win as group runners-up.

But if everything goes according to plan in the Egypt-Sudan game and Mohamed Salah & Co leaves no chances, then Nigeria and Egypt will pass as the top two teams. Egypt has a head-to-head record (1-0 on aggregate) against Guinea-Bissau, so the combined results make these two countries even 4 points.

Of course, if Sudan is somehow able to shock Egypt, they could end up in second place at best (with a loss or draw with Guinea-Bissau), or worst, in number one. three and hope that their four points are enough to make it to the Round of 16. But no one in Sudan beat Egypt.

Group scenario E

1. Ivory Coast 4 2 first 0 first 3 2 +1
2. Equal. Guinea 3 2 first first 0 first first 0
3. Sierra Leone 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 0
4. Algeria first 2 0 first first 0 first -first
Day Competition Time (ET) TV & Streams
Autumn, January 20 Ivory Coast vs. Algeria 11 a.m beIN XTRA / fuboTV
Autumn, January 20 Sierra Leone versus Equ. Guinea 11 a.m beIN CONNECT

A shock loss to defending champions Algeria and a final draw with Ivory Coast sent two heavyweights into the final of their group – a head-to-head matchup – both in need of a fight. won, this will make for an interesting match for the neutral team. .

Why Algeria needs to win: Fennec Foxes have no alternatives. A loss will eliminate them, and a draw will likely produce the same result.

If Algeria defeats Ivory Coast, many possibilities will open up. Victory will pass in second place if there is also another team game winner (Sierra Leone vs. Equatorial Guinea).

And Algeria could still finish first: A draw in the other, coupled with a win by Algeria, would make for a three-way tie with four points each. Algeria can claim that victory if they beat Ivory Coast by two goals or more. A one-goal win against Algeria will introduce other tiebreakers, according to tournament rules (page 32).

Why Ivory Coast needs to win: A draw or loss could put the Elephants ahead for first (and even second) in the group. All of that will ensure a round of 16 match will be much tougher.

For their part, Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone should treat their fans to an open-ended game with the aim of a win that could potentially top Group E depending on what goes on in Algeria-Coast. Ivory.

While Sierra Leone can’t really afford to settle for a draw, Equatorial Guinea could be content with a draw as a four-point gap is enough to get through, at worst a third-place team.

Scenario of the group F

1. Mali 4 2 first 0 first 2 first +1
2. Gambia 4 2 first 0 first 2 first +1
3. Tunisia 3 2 first first 0 4 first +3
4. Mauritania-E 0 2 0 2 0 0 5 -5

X = Qualify for Round 16 | E = Removed

Day Competition Time (ET) TV & Streams
Autumn, January 20 Gambia vs. Tunisia 2 p.m beIN XTRA / fuboTV
Autumn, January 20 Mali vs. Mauritania 2 p.m be in sports / fuboTV

With Mauritania with nothing left to play (which will lose in third place to Tunisia based on head-to-head results), that sets up an ideal group final for Mali, who need a win by a few goals to win. top position lock.

Anything but Mali’s win in that game would open the door for Gambia or Tunisia to go through with a win, giving them plenty of incentive to chase a win when they meet.

Lanyard between Mali, Gambia: If Mali and Gambia tie on seven points, the second winner (overall goal difference) will kick. The team that wins the final with the widest difference will finish in first place.

If two countries draw on more than 5 points, a third draw (total goals scored) will be needed because the first draw (head to head result) even from their 1-1 draw and the The second draw (overall goal difference) will also be deadlocked at plus 1 for both. So the team with the highest number of points in the two draws will be at the top of the table.

Shares of Tunisia: Even after losing their first match against Mali, they can still dream of finishing first (winning Tunisia and drawing or losing to Mali) or second (winning Tunisia and drawing Mali). But even a draw against the Gambia is not a bad result with four points enough to qualify for the knockout stages. And that’s all for any team to worry about at this stage.

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