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Bettors choose Chicago Bears to annoy the Philadelphia Eagles

Dream field.

Dream field.
Picture: beautiful pictures

The Chicago Bears will say goodbye for a week. That’s pretty much the only advantage they have over the Philadelphia Eagles this weekend. However, despite the obvious disparity in talent between the two teams, bettors seem inclined to reach for the stars, just as they did with Texans overtake Cowboys last weekend.

Based on US Odds, 65 percent bets on the Eagles-Bears line were in favor of Chicago. The Eagles enter Week 15 as the favorite team by 9 points over the Chicago Bears, the second-largest margin of any team this week behind only the Houston Texans (+14) to the Kansas City Chiefs. . So if I really believe the bettors are just looking for a good payday, why don’t they support the Houston Texans this week? Simply put, they just watched the Texans lose money when they couldn’t beat the Dallas Cowboys. Now, they get the Team Leaders, which are supposed to be a tougher opponent and everyone believes they can’t win.

With Bears it is different. Chicago’s attack was hot, and while Justin Fields’ impeccable play had little effect on the winning column, it was only a matter of time before they broke through and won. So why not have it after saying goodbye and against a team many fans consider overrated?

I’m not saying the Eagles are overrated. I think they’re legitimate Super Bowl contenders who, yes, had an easy schedule, but they dominated those “easy” games, like great teams. did. That said, my beliefs are not shared among NFL fans everywhere. There are several people with money that have seen Philly lose to the Commanders and barely beat the Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals, who believe the Eagles cheated more than Brett Favre’s next big public investment. and this could be the week when the theory is proven, right? Well, I doubt that.

Justin Fields’ greatest attribute is his mobility. Despite his incredibly talented arm, the Bears’ lack of powerful receivers limited Fields’ game-changing abilities in the air. That’s not to say he doesn’t – he looks amazing when forced to step back and pass – but it’s easier for Fields to change the dynamics of the game on the ground. The Eagles only allow one hasty encounter with quarterbacks all year, the third-least in the NFL. That said, the Eagles do allow midfielders to shoot as high as 6.8 feet per charge, but that number seems to have little effect on a team’s performance. That 6.8 puts Philadelphia last in the NFL…they have the best record in the league. The Detroit Lions have the next poorest record (also 6.8 yards per attempt), they are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, competing for a playoff spot and despite letting Fields pass 147 yards and two touches in the first meeting, the Lions still won.

However, something is going on the Bears’ way. The Eagles’ defense currently ranks second in total yards allowed per game, and while Fields and company beat the highest-ranked defense – the San Francisco – at the start of the season, that was Week 1, before when the Niners found their footing, and arguably the worst weather either team had played in all year. It’s hard to judge that game on any other basis than an outlier. That said, Chicago has only faced two other top-10 defenses all season – Week 7 at the New England Patriots, where the Bears scored their best total of the season, and Week 12 against the Jets, where Justin Fields didn’t play. , which can also be seen as an exception. Unlike the Patriots, we can’t expect the Eagles to only get 14 points. In fact, Philly has only had one game this year to score less than 20 points.

The Eagles also face the Cowboys next week, which is undoubtedly their toughest game left. Maybe Philadelphia will ignore the Bears, focus too much on Dallas and lose sight of what’s right in front of them, but the Eagles aren’t stupid. I suspect they will be very short-sighted. They’re playing two games against the Cowboys, and I’m sure they’re willing to take a loss against Dallas as long as they beat Chicago. In that case, at least the Eagles will still hold Dallas to take the lead.

There are several other games with trap lines in Week 15 that seem much better to bet on the weaker team. Why are the Cowboys only a four point favorite over the Jaguars? That seems a bit low. What about the Bengal team with only three points against Tampa Bay despite being two weeks away from taking down the captains? Why are the Browns only a three-point home favorite against one Team Lamar Jackson-less Ravens? Vegas tends to know more than the average NFL consumer, and recognizing odd spreads like these is the first step to beating them. I’m not saying they’ll all be successful, just to track them all down this weekend.

Sure, there are some reasons to trust the Bears against the Eagles, but 9 points is a lot and there is reason for Vegas to put a limit on more than one possession. Yes, they are wrong sometimes but according to Pro-Football-Reference’s Win probability calculator. superiority. I also like Justin Fields. However, don’t let his greatness cloud your judgment.



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