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BRENNAN’S BETS: Liking 6 ‘dogs in Week 6 – including a best bet

news7h10/15/2021

3 13 minutes read

BRENNAN'S BETS: Liking 6 'dogs in Week 6 - including a best bet

Creator of the article:

Don Brennan

Publishing date:

Oct 14, 2021 • 15 minutes in the past • 12 minute learn • Be a part of the dialog

Justin Herbert and the Chargers tackle Lamar Jackson the Ravens on Sunday. Each groups have solely misplaced one recreation this season. / Picture by John McCoy /Getty Pictures

RAMS 4-1 AT GIANTS 1-4
LINE: Los Angeles by 9 1/2
CHEWABLE: A mismatch, in some ways. Rams have the second-best air assault (averaging 310 yards) whereas Giants are twenty second in cross defence. Rams prime the league in yards per play (6.7) whereas the Giants defence is twenty fourth in yards allowed per play (6.1). Rams are rebuilding standing and misplaced two weeks in the past as top-of-the-line groups within the NFL. Giants aren’t Large Blue as of late as a lot as black and blue. Backup QB Mike Glennon will get the ball if Daniel Jones (concussion) can’t go. Glennon has misplaced his final six begins, final tasting victory as a starter with the Bears in 2017. Not less than he’s tall. At 6-foot-7, Glennon will present a pleasant massive goal for Aaron Donald. RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) received’t play however the two of their prime three receivers, Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton are anticipated to be again from hamstring accidents … You may wager that Rams star CB Jalen Ramsey can be overlaying and chirping the crap out of rookie WR Kadarius Toney, who had 184 receiving yards in opposition to the Cowboys final week earlier than he was tossed for shedding his composure and punching a defender proper within the helmet … Rams have received the final two conferences after snapping a seven-game shedding streak to the Giants. Los Angeles owns the all-time collection, 28-17 … This one can be the Survivor Decide of the week.
TAKING: RAMS -9 1/2
SCORE: Rams 38, Giants 14

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CHARGERS 4-1 AT RAVENS 4-1
LINE: Baltimore by 2 1/2
CHEWABLE: Lamar Jackson missed Thursday’s follow, which can grow to be an enormous story and could also be nothing … Even with the customary three-point nod given to house groups, this line makes little sense. Chargers have the higher defence, working again and receiving group. As for the quarterbacks, effectively, Justin Herbert and Jackson are fourth and fifth in passing yards, with Herbert averaging yet one more TD cross per recreation and Jackson working for 281 extra yards. (Chargers are worst staff in opposition to the run, Ravens are fourth worst in opposition to the cross). Which QB is best? On Sunday Jimmy Johnson advised FOX viewers, “If I used to be drafting within the NFL as we speak out of all of the gamers, my number one choose can be Justin Herbert. Over (Patrick) Mahomes.” … Yardage-wise, Herbert targets Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are the fifth and seventh main receivers within the league, respectively … Control the standing of Williams, who’s coping with a knee damage … Chargers have received 4 of the final 5 conferences … Being tied for final within the league with simply 10 sacks would possibly work to Chargers profit. Apply some warmth on Jackson and he runs. Final week however, your likelihood is higher in opposition to him when he’s passing the ball.
TAKING: LOS ANGELES +2 1/2
SCORE: Chargers 35, Ravens 31

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COWBOYS 4-1 AT PATRIOTS 2-3
LINE: Dallas by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: Invoice Belichick is a defensive mastermind, however how on the planet can he cease the Cowboys and all these weapons? It’s unimaginable …. wait, weren’t we saying the identical factor when Tom Brady and the Buccaneers had been in Foxborough a few weeks in the past? And didn’t the defending champs want a discipline purpose with underneath two minutes to flee with the win? Yeah effectively, not this time. Patriots fifteenth ranked run defence will be unable to silence Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, and Dak Prescott will choose the Pats aside when Belichick sends a blitz. Patriots predict at the very least a few O-linemen they had been lacking, once they scratched out a three-point win over the Texans, however they’re going to wish much more than that to maintain tempo on this one … Patriots have received the final six conferences, however earlier than that streak the Cowboys beat them seven in a row … Fascinating sidebar can be whether or not Trevon Diggs can hold his five-game interception streak going in opposition to Mac Jones, his former teammate at Alabama.
TAKING: DALLAS -3 1/2
SCORE: Cowboys 33, Patriots 16

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THE REST
DOLPHINS 1-4 AT JAGUARS 0-5
LINE: Miami by 3
CHEWABLE: Bloody hell, for the second consecutive week the NFL is sending two of its worst groups to London, solely this matchup comes straight from the underside of the barrel … Miami was speculated to have a great defence, however neither staff does. Each are permitting greater than 30 factors per recreation … The all-time collection is tied 5-5, with Miami successful two of the final three and Jacksonville 4 of the final six … Jags have the higher floor recreation. James Robinson has rushed for 4 TDs and no fewer than 78 yards in any of the final three video games, together with a profession finest 149 yards on 18 carries in final week’s misplaced to Tennessee … With Tua Tagovailoa getting the eye in his return from the IR, I feel Trevor Lawrence data his first NFL win overseas.
TAKING: JACKSONVILLE +3
SCORE: Jaguars 24, Dolphins 21

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PACKERS 4-1 AT BEARS 3-2
LINE: Inexperienced Bay by 5
CHEWABLE: Aaron Rodgers was an NFL rookie when Justin Fields, who can be getting his first style of the league’s oldest rivalry, was a younger lad of six. Rodgers has 193 extra begins, 128 extra wins, 4,355 extra completions, 52,028 extra passing yards and 421 extra landing passes than the Bears rookie QB. Oh sure, he additionally owns a 20-5 profession document versus Chicago. Inexperienced Bay has the sting in receivers and working backs, and a barely increased ranked defence, though each groups are prime 10. Packers have additionally received the final 4 conferences, 9 of the final 10 and 22 of the final 27 … Regardless of all that, with an upset at Soldier Discipline, each groups can be 4-2 and the Bears can be sitting on prime of the NFC North standings … Bears are all the way down to the fourth identify on their RB depth chart with Damien Williams being positioned on the COVID-list Thursday. Sixth rounder Khalil Herbert ought to shoulder the workload. He carried the ball 18 instances for 75 yards in final week’s blowout of Raiders … Bears lead the NFL with 18 sacks, whereas Rodgers is likely one of the least sacked (10) QBs within the league.
TAKING: CHICAGO +5
SCORE: Packers 21, Bears 17

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BENGALS 3-2 AT LIONS 0-5
LINE: Cincinnati by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: Lions can be 2-3 if video games had been 59 minutes and 59 seconds lengthy. What are the percentages of watching your 17-16 lead sail by the uprights on the final play in two of your first 5 video games, Dan Campbell? … Joe Burrow needed to restrict his talking this week after struggling a throat contusion, however he needs to be good to feast on a Lions defence which presents little stress and has a comfortable again finish … Jared Goff should be having flashbacks to his rookie season, when he misplaced all seven video games he began for the Rams. Between then and now he went 42-20 and performed within the Tremendous Bowl … After shedding the primary two video games of the all-time collection, the Bengals have 9 of the final 10. They’ve additionally gone house with a win in 5 of six journeys to Detroit … If the Bengals are going to be the contenders within the AFC North they wish to be, they must deal with the league’s lightweights.
TAKING: CINCINNATI by 3 1/2
SCORE: Bengals 30, Lions 20

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TEXANS 1-4 AT COLTS 1-4
LINE: Indianapolis by 10
CHEWABLE: Two 1-4 groups and the house aspect is favorite by a TD and FG? No one exterior of Indy believes within the Colts greater than me — they actually ought to have defeated the Ravens in Baltimore on Monday — however they don’t deserve a lot love, particularly coming off a brief week … Indy has been canine the previous 5 weeks, a place from which the Texans have constructed a 3-2 document ATS … Davis Mills had a breakthrough recreation final week, finishing 72.4% of his passes for 312 yards, three TDs and no picks in opposition to Invoice Belichick’s defence. He ought to be capable to some success in opposition to a Colts secondary that ranks twentieth in cross defence and was simply torched by Lamar Jackson … Houston does have an issue — with its working recreation. It’s the fifth most anaemic within the league, averaging 79.8 yards a recreation … Indy RB Jonathan Taylor is coming off his greatest recreation, with 53 yards on the bottom, 116 by the air and two TDs … Colts lead the all-time collection 30-9.
TAKING: HOUSTON +10
SCORE: Colts 28, Texans 24

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CHIEFS 2-3 AT WFT 2-3
LINE: Kansas Metropolis by 6 1/2
CHEWABLE: All people’s down on the Chiefs, who aren’t even prime 10 in energy rankings anymore, to not point out embarrassed by the beating they took at house from the Payments. This doesn’t bode effectively for the anonymous Soccer Staff. Patrick Mahomes, who can be taking part in in opposition to Washington for the primary time, already misplaced two in a row in September. He has by no means gone on two shedding streaks that lengthy in a single season … WFT QB Taylor Heinicke, is coming off his worst recreation as a starter. He accomplished fewer than half of his passes (20-of-41) with no touchdowns and two interceptions in a 33-22 loss to New Orleans … Chiefs and Jacksonville are tied for the league lead in turnovers, with 11 … Chiefs working recreation is struggling with out Clyde Edwards-Helaire and prime blocker Joe Thuney. WFT can have the sting within the floor recreation with Antonio Gibson hauling the mail, however his paths may develop into slightly extra treacherous with the return of DL Chris Jones … Chiefs have received 9-of-10 all-time conferences. The one blemish was a 27-12 defeat Sept. 18, 1983 in Washington. The house aspect was quarterbacked by Joe Theismann, whereas John Riggins had 84 yards and a TD on 21 carries and Dexter Manley had 1.5 sacks.
TAKING: KANSAS CITY -6 1/2
SCORE: Chiefs 30, WFT 21

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VIKINGS 2-3 AT PANTHERS 3-2
LINE: Minnesota by 1 1/2
CHEWABLE: It now appears like these “50-50” odds of Christian McCaffrey coming back from his hamstring damage this week are loads decrease on the uncertain aspect because the Panthers star RB was listed as a non-participant in Thursday’s follow. Which means one other begin for Canadian Chuba Hubbard, who had his finest recreation (24 carries, 101 yards, 5 catches, 33 yards) in final week’s loss to the Eagles … Dalvin Cook dinner and Alexander Mattison will aspire to have comparable success in opposition to the Panthers because the Cowboys did two weeks in the past when Zeke Elliott and Tony Pollard mixed for 210 speeding yards … No McCaffrey additionally means a more durable day for Sam Darnold, who was rattled into throwing three interceptions in opposition to Philly … Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is much less more likely to make game-costing errors than Darnold, but it surely’s nonetheless not simple to choose the Vikings as a house canine.
TAKING: Minnesota -1 1/2
SCORE: Vikings 24, Panthers 20

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CARDINALS 5-0 AT BROWNS 3-2
LINE: Cleveland by 3
CHEWABLE: Two Heisman Trophy successful first total picks from the identical faculty will go head-to-head when former Oklahoma Sooners Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray oppose one another for the primary time … Playing cards followers can whine in regards to the lack of a respect of their staff being an undefeated canine within the Dawg Pound, however there’s good motive: The largest flaw in Arizona’s recreation is the run defence, which ranks twenty eighth whereas giving up a mean of 139 yards per recreation. Browns lead the league with 187.6 speeding yards per recreation. Stands to determine Kevin Stefanski’s recreation plan will centre across the names Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt much more than regular — offered they each play. Each had been listed on Cleveland’s “didn’t follow” listing Thursday … Making issues worse for the Playing cards was placement of LB Chandler Jones on the COVID-list. Jones has 14 QB hits together with 5 sacks, which he recorded in Week 1. With out him to fret about, Baker Mayfield ought to have some further time when he does drop again … If Murray goes to stay within the MVP dialog, he must step up massive in opposition to the percentages and in such unfriendly territory. I feel he’ll at the very least hold it shut and be the sport’s prime rusher.
TAKING: CARDINALS +3.
SCORE: Browns 31, Playing cards 30

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RAIDERS 3-2 AT BRONCOS 3-2
LINE: Denver by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: Large AFC West recreation for groups hoping to maintain tempo with the Chargers. It’s going to be a more durable activity for the Raiders, who had been drastically distracted by the entire Jon Gruden fiasco. The true query is, had been the Raiders taking part in over their head once they jumped out to a 3-0 begin? Similar was thought in regards to the Broncos, who beat up on weaklings (Giants, Jags, Jets) earlier than shedding their final two to the Ravens and Steelers … Residence staff has received 9 of the final 10 conferences between these two … Raiders can’t run the ball and Broncos have sixth ranked cross defence, which ought to add to the pile that’s saying Denver is the choose. However I’m going to danger outsmarting myself (which has by no means occurred) and imagine within the Raiders banding collectively within the storm of controversy. It’s a discipline purpose recreation.
TAKING: LAS VEGAS +3 1/2
Rating: Broncos 17, Raiders 14

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SEAHAWKS 2-3 AT STEELERS 2-3
LINE: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2
CHEWABLE: With Russell Wilson sidelined by a finger damage, Geno Smith can be making his first begin since Dec. 3, 2017, when he was flinging balls for the Giants. His final win as a starter got here the season earlier than, when he accomplished 4-of-8 passes to guide the Jets previous Baltimore. As you possibly can see, he’s slightly off form. Powerful spot to leap into, with the Steelers desperately needing to construct on final week’s slump-buster over the Broncos in a AFC North Division that’s attempting to depart the station with out them. This can be a can’t miss alternative for the Pittsburgh defence to get proper. It’s at the moment ranked sixteenth, which was not within the playing cards, and tied for final in sacks after main the class a 12 months in the past. Much more than that, the Steelers have to seek out their offence, and there’s no higher opponent to try this in opposition to than the Seahawks, who’ve allowed a league-leading 450.8 yards per recreation.
TAKING: PITTSBURGH -5 1/2
SCORE: Steelers 37, Seahawks 17

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BILLS 4-1 AT TITANS 3-2
LINE: Buffalo by 5 1/2
CHEWABLE: Two close to immovable objects will conflict in Nashville, when the Payments staunch run defence will try and derail Derrick Henry’s journey to a 3rd straight speeding title. Henry hasn’t had a lot luck with Buffalo prior to now, averaging 64 yards per recreation in three outings. However he’s additionally surpassed the 100-yard mark in 19 of his final 27 begins, which is barely ridiculous. Titans did bounce again from the embarrassment of shedding to the Jets two weeks in the past, but it surely with an 18-point victory over the Jaguars. Yay! Payments are blowing all people away and look like sustaining the right one-game-a-time mindset, which might seemingly guard in opposition to a letdown after their trouncing of Okay.C. They’ve received three of the final 4 and 29-of-48 all-time conferences. Titans even have the twenty first ranked passing ‘D’ and Josh Allen has been lights out in two of his final three begins. The very fact they’re on primetime TV once more ought to add to the momentum Payments have going.
TAKING: BUFFALO -5 1/2
SCORE: Payments 28, Titans 20

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