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BRENNAN’S BETS: Week 8 NFL picks

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BEST BETS

49ers 2-4 at BEARS 3-4
LINE: San Francisco by 4
CHEWABLE: Can somebody please clarify why San Fran is favoured? And by greater than a discipline aim? Is that this concerning the Bears rookie QB being fully muffled in Tampa final weekend? Chicago’s offence has stunk for the final two weeks and if Matt Nagy wasn’t so apprehensive about Justin Fields’ psyche he would possibly flip to Andy Dalton now, with a playoff spot nonetheless attainable. However usually talking the Bears aren’t a whole mess. They’ve defeated the Raiders (by double digits on the street) and they’re one in every of solely two groups to beat the Bengals. The 49ers gained their first two video games (vs. Lions, Eagles) however have misplaced their final 4 (Packers, Seahawks, Cardinals and Colts). This sport needs to be a type of determined by errors. Solely the Jets, Jaguars and Chiefs have a worst turnover differential than their -7. Jimmy Garoppolo has coughed the ball up extra occasions (7) than he has thrown landing passes (6). Fields was responsible of 5 turnovers versus Tampa Bay, and 49ers may have their havoc-wreaking defender, Nick Bosa, anxious to introduce himself to the child whereas Chicago sack man Khalil Mack (foot) might be watching from the sidelines … Each groups might be feeding as a lot as attainable their rookie, sixth-round decide operating backs after each Elijah Mitchell and Khalil Herbert had 100 yard video games final week … Bears have gained two of the final three conferences and are about to make it three of 4 — regardless of what the unfold suggests.
TAKING: CHICAGO +4
SCORE: Bears 24, 49ers 20

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STEELERS 3-3 at BROWNS 4-3
LINE: Cleveland by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: Being the worst group within the AFC North for the primary time ever, anticipate the Steelers to return again from their bye with as a lot ardour and battle as Mike Tomlin had when requested concerning the USC job. Including to their motivational hearth needs to be the 28 factors Cleveland placed on the board within the first quarter en path to a 48-37 playoff win final January. That is doubtless the final stand for Ben Roethlisberger if he doesn’t get Pittsburgh to the playoffs, and he says he’s rested and prepared for the problem … Browns might or might not get Baker Mayfield (shoulder) again, however both method Case Keenum did a high-quality job as his fill in final week. Seems like Nick Chubb will return to the backfield, with D’Ernest Johnson close by, anxious to indicate final week’s debut was no fluke … Steelers rookie RB Najee Harris has surpassed the 140 yards from scrimmage mark thrice, together with the final two video games. He’ll be dealing with a run defence that ranks second to solely that of the Bucs … Large Ben is 53-35 ATS versus the AFC North.
TAKING: PITTSBURGH +3 1/2
SCORE: Steelers 30, Browns 27

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BENGALS 5-2 at JETS 1-5
LINE: Cincinnati by 10 1/2
CHEWABLE: In the event that they’re severe about being a very good group, Bengals have to recollect this isn’t a bye week, as a lot as it could really feel like one. They beat up the Ravens final Sunday and get one other divisional foe within the Browns subsequent Sunday, but it surely’s by no means a very good factor to look previous any group, even the Jets. They need to be making an attempt to match the 54 placed on the board in opposition to them by the Pats final week. Ought to be a discipline day for Ja’Marr Chase, who’s averaging greater than 21 yards a catch and final week dominated Marlon Humphrey, among the finest corners within the league … Joe Mixon can transfer into second within the dashing race with a powerful day in opposition to the twenty fifth ranked run defence … With Jets No. 1 QB Zach Wilson injured, making his begin might be Mike White, a fifth-round decide in 2018. He needs to be scrambling for his life, behind a lame line, from a move rush that’s tied for fifth greatest. Joe Flacco is warming up within the Jets bullpen.
TAKING: CINCINNATI +10 1/2
SCORE: Bengals 37, Jets 12

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THE REST

PANTHERS 3-4 at FALCONS 3-3
LINE: Atlanta by 3
CHEWABLE: Onerous to imagine these Panthers began the season with three wins. The worst of 4 straight losses since was final week, when Sam Darnold was benched after throwing for simply 112 yards on 25 makes an attempt they usually transformed solely two-of-15 third down conditions in a 25-3 remaining in opposition to a lowly and undermanned Giants group … Falcons are going the opposite method, successful three of their final 4 with Matt Ryan throwing 10 TD passes and one decide over that span. Rookie TE Kyle Pitts is beginning to present everybody what all of the fuss was about with 16 catches for 282 yards within the final two video games. The traits might proceed however there might be no blowout right here. Stephon Gilmore ought to lastly make his Carolina debut and with him comes a elevate for the Panthers. Alas, he can cowl just one man at a time and the Falcons have a number of weapons.
TAKING: CAROLINA +3
SCORE: Falcons 28, Panthers 27

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DOLPHINS 1-6 at BILLS 4-2
LINE: Buffalo by 14
CHEWABLE: It’s not simply that that they had 5 transformed touchdowns whereas shutting out the Fish in Week 2. Miami had an excuse for not scoring, having misplaced its No. 1 QB to harm early that afternoon, and the Payments, properly, they’re a tough group to cease. However Buffalo has gained the final six conferences with its division rival from South Florida, averaging 39 factors within the course of. No purpose to suppose this one might be any completely different in that respect. Payments are coming off a bye, which suggests they’ve needed to stay with the style of the 34-31 loss to the Titans of their mouth for 2 weeks. Tua Tagovailoa has a completion proportion of 74.7 p.c (65 passes for 629 yards and 6 TDs) within the crushing defeats his group has suffered since his return. That is the primary time he’s taking part in a very good defence since he has been again, but it surely needs to be a more in-depth outcome than the final time he noticed Buffalo.
TAKING: MIAMI +14
SCORE: Payments 30, Dolphins 20

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EAGLES 2-5 at LIONS 0-7
LINE: Philadelphia by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: As soon as once more the NFC East is generally a joke, with each group however Dallas proudly owning a 2-5 file. Final week the Eagles scored on their first drive, then allowed the Raiders 30 straight factors. Their fifth loss in six video games was additionally the third time in 5 weeks they surrendered 30 or extra factors. They’re nonetheless higher than Detroit. Fletcher Cox and Josh Sweat ought to have the ability to dominate the Lions tissue-like O-line and power Jared Goff into turnovers, whereas Jalen Hurts and Dallas Goedert benefit from Detroit’s weak linebacker group. The Lions have to be exasperated. They’ve misplaced two dwelling video games on the final play, each by a rating of 19-17, and final week they threw the whole lot however the kitchen sink on the Rams solely to lose 28-17. Dan Campbell looks like a man gamers would hold going by means of the wall for, nevertheless, and Eagles aren’t precisely a wall. Lions have gained the final three conferences and in opposition to all sound logic, I see them extending that streak to 4.
TAKING: DETROIT +3 1/2
SCORE: Lions 19, Eagles 17

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TITANS 5-2 at COLTS 3-4
LINE: Indianapolis by 1 1/2
CHEWABLE: Greatest sport of the week, in my humble opinion. Titans gained their Week 3 assembly in Nashville by a 25-16 rating, however Carson Wentz was hobbling on two dangerous ankles and accomplished simply 19 of 37 move makes an attempt for 194 yards. He has thrown two TD passes together with no interceptions in every of the 4 video games since, three of which had been Indy victories … Derrick Henry was held underneath 100 dashing yards final week for the primary time for the reason that season opener, and the Colts defence is significantly higher than the Chiefs. Operating the ball for the Colts is Jonathan Taylor, the again closest to Henry’s heels within the dashing race. Taylor trials Henry by 290 yards, however by averaging 7.9 yards per carry during the last two video games (and 32 carries) he’s making an attempt to shut the hole … Quarterback and receiver matchups are fairly even, as is the case with the 2 defences, though the Colts most likely have a really slight edge within the latter … Within the all-time collection, Colts went 24-4 over a stretch however have since misplaced three of the final 4. Two of these losses had been at Lucas Oil Stadium. Indy takes this one, although. It’s too onerous to beat a very good opponent twice in the identical season.
TAKING: INDIANAPOLIS -1 1/2
SCORE: Colts 34, Titans 31

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RAMS 6-1 at TEXANS 1-6
LINE: L.A. Rams by 14 1/2
CHEWABLE: Who’s standing in for Deshaun Watson this week? If veteran QB Tyrod Taylor is coming back from the IR to face the Rams, Texans get beat. If it’s Davis Mills once more, they’ll be destroyed. It’s a lose-big, lose-big for the Cal McNair Comedy Present … Texans have been held to single digits in 4 of their present six-game dropping streak, and administration has taken one other swipe at morale by buying and selling the favored Mark Ingram. “That is bulls—,” tweeted Brandin Cooks, the Texans’ greatest participant. “Such a joke.” Rams didn’t play properly in opposition to Detroit final week, falling behind 10-0 earlier than getting the ball for the primary time. They’ll look to leap forward early in opposition to the Texans, then pound away on the NFL’s Thirty first ranked run defence.
TAKING: L.A. RAMS -14 1/2
SCORE: Rams 44, Texans 9

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PATRIOTS 3-4 at CHARGERS 4-2
LINE: L.A. Chargers by 5
CHEWABLE: As convincingly as they gained final week and as shut as they’ve stored video games with Bucs and Cowboys, the Patriots are touring cross-country to face a very good group coming off a bye week. Make {that a} good group that was pummelled 34-6 earlier than its week off. And a very good quarterback who accomplished lower than 50 p.c of his passes (26-of-53) and threw two interceptions the one different time he confronted the Patriots and their deviously defensive-minded head coach. That 45-0 dwelling discipline loss to the Patriots late in his rookie season will nonetheless be sitting with Justin Herbert … The Chargers have the worst run defence within the league, permitting a mean of 162.5 yards per sport. Coming off his greatest sport of the season (14 carries, 106 yards, two touchdowns), Pats RB Damien Harris ought to have one other productive day. However certainly Chargers head coach Brandon Staley made changes to schemes throughout week off … Mac Jones has accomplished 70.4 p.c of his passes, however this would be the first time he faces a very good group on the street.
TAKING: L.A. CHARGERS -5
SCORE: Chargers 27, Patriots 14

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JAGUARS 1-5 at SEAHAWKS 2-5
LINE: Seattle by 3 1/2
CHEWABLE: If Russell Wilson was wholesome and taking part in, you’d take a look at this one and put a examine beside the house group with out giving it a second thought, regardless that the unfold would most likely be nearer to six 1/2. Jags and Seahawks rank thirtieth and Thirty first in yards allowed per sport, so there needs to be ample motion down the sector. However who do you belief extra as a QB — the rookie No. 1 general decide coming off his first NFL win and a bye week, or the journeyman backup who accomplished 12 of twenty-two passes for 167 yards in a 13-10 loss to the Saints final week? Give me Trevor Lawrence, particularly together with his group getting 3 1/2 factors. It’s good to have D.Okay. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to throw at, however they solely had two catches every vs. New Orleans. Lawrence threw for 319 yards within the 23-20 Week 6 victory in London, the place he continued to construct his relationship with veteran Marvin Jones Jr. and 23-year previous Laviska Shenault Jr. Additionally to notice is the play of RB James Robinson, who has averaged 97 dashing yards during the last 4 video games and provides the Jags the sting within the floor sport.
TAKING: JACKSONVILLE +3 1/2
SCORE: Jags 20, Seahawks 17

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WASHINGTON 2-5 at BRONCOS 3-4
LINE: Denver by 3
CHEWABLE: Choose your poison. Washington has misplaced 4 of its final 5, boasts an underperforming defence and owns what Professional Soccer Focus ranks the Thirty first-best passing offence within the league. Broncos have misplaced 4 straight to fully make a moot level of their 3-0 begin. You would possibly lean in the direction of Denver due to dwelling discipline benefit within the skinny air and the actual fact WR Jerry Jeudy is coming back from an ankle harm that has sidelined him since Week 2. However in its 24-10 loss to the Packers final week, Washington did out-gain Inexperienced Bay (195-57 on the bottom, due to Taylor Heinicke’s fast ft) and common extra yards per play. It might simply freeze up in or close to the purple zone … The Soccer Staff is 1-6 ATS and the job it did limiting Aaron Jones to 19 yards on six carries offers us hope the defence has turned a nook.
TAKING: WASHINGTON +3
SCORE: Soccer Staff 23, Broncos 20

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BUCS 6-1 at SAINTS 4-2
LINE: Tampa Bay by 5 1/2
CHEWABLE: I just like the transfer the Saints made to convey again Mark Ingram and the plan to get him within the lineup instantly in opposition to the Chiefs. Additionally like storyline that might be created by a Saints win. Out of the blue we might have a title race in then NFC South, proper? Yeah, properly it ain’t taking place. Tom Brady is 17-6 because the Bucs QB and two of the losses got here final season to the Saints — the second by a 38-3 rating in Tampa. It was one of many worst video games of Brady’s storied profession. Assume he’s forgotten it? Assume he doesn’t need revenge? The nice Drew Brees is not the New Orleans QB, so Brady’s duel is now with the typical Jameis Winston …Rob Gronkowski is predicted again after lacking 4 video games with busted ribs. He scored 4 TDs within the Bucs first two video games … Saints greatest participant is RB Alvin Kamara and Bucs have by far the perfect run defence within the league … Saints have but to face a very good offence, in case you skip the season opener in opposition to the sleepwalking Packers … Brady is 14-7 ATS in domes and 12-5 ATS heading into an everyday season bye, which awaits subsequent week.
TAKING: TAMPA BAY -5 1/2
SCORE: Bucs 34, Saints 21

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COWBOYS 5-1 at VIKINGS 3-3
LINE: Dallas by 1 1/2
CHEWABLE: All bets are off if Dak Prescott (calf) doesn’t play, and that’s up within the air. “I don’t know if it’s simply my determination,” the Cowboys QB mentioned Thursday, when requested if he would begin. The mix of Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper and the difficulty Vikings corners have had masking this season would sink Minnesota. Cowboys robust O-line ought to hold Prescott off the turf in opposition to the likes of Everson Griffen and Danielle Hunter, whereas opening holes for Zeke Elliott and Tony Pollard. Final time Vikings confronted good operating backs, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt mixed for 169 yards alongside the bottom … Cowboys move defence is twenty eighth and if Kirk Cousins is on, he definitely has the weapons to show this right into a shootout … Mike McCarthy is 11-2 ATS coming off a bye whereas Mike Zimmer is 69-49 ATS … At 6-0, Cowboys are the final undefeated group ATS. Their streak will stay intact if Prescott performs.
TAKING: DALLAS -1 1/2
SCORE: Cowboys 37, Vikings 34

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GIANTS 2-5 at CHIEFS 3-4
LINE: Kansas Metropolis by 9 1/2
CHEWABLE: Does that line appear out of whack? Chiefs are coming off a 27-3 loss and Giants are coming off a 25-3 win. Clearly Okay.C.’s file, plus the way in which its defence and quarterback have been taking part in, is just not shaking the assumption that the two-time AFC champions are nonetheless going to be battling deep into January … Excellent news for Chiefs: It’s time to show the web page. On the calendar. Nobody will welcome this Nov. 1 date greater than Patrick Mahomes. Over his profession, he’s 7-2 throughout the eleventh month, with 29 TD passes (greater than three a sport) and 6 interceptions … There’s once more speak Giants may very well be getting again three impactful offensive gamers — Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney. In fact they may make a distinction, however there’s additionally speak of Mahomes, Darrel Williams and Travis Kelce will benefit from the weak Giants linebacker corps … I’m on board with this being a “get-right” sport for the Chiefs and betting on a very good group coming off an embarrassing loss.
TAKING: KANSAS CITY -9 1/2
SCORE: Chiefs 33, Giants 21

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