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BRENNAN’S Week 5 BETS: Bills getting no respect against Chiefs team that could be winless

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BEST BETS

TITANS 2-2 AT JAGUARS 0-4

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LINE: Tennessee by 4 1/2

CHEWABLE: How do the Jags deal with the distraction created by their numbskull of a head coach? They received’t. Too unhealthy. They confirmed progress in Thursday’s three-point loss to Bengals, taking a 14-0 lead earlier than melting within the second half … The Titans go to a weak workforce for the second week in a row. Shedding to this one, like they did to the Jets, would point out they’re undeserving of a consideration as a playoff contender, by no means thoughts first place in a comfortable division … Trevor Lawrence had his first turnover-free recreation, though it was additionally the primary outing he didn’t throw a TD move … The Titans noticed one among their injured two stud receivers, A.J. Brown, return to observe Wednesday. Julio Jones remains to be sidelined … The Jags haven’t coated any of their previous 4 house video games … The Titans have received seven of the previous eight conferences … This beating ought to be extreme.

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TAKING: TENNESSEE -4 1/2

SCORE: Titans 44, Jags 17

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PATRIOTS 1-3 AT HOUSTON 1-3

LINE: New England by 9

CHEWABLE: Typically talked about is how Invoice Belichick dominates rookie QBs and now, simply days after holding Tom Brady to 19 factors, he meets Davis Mills. It’s totally doable Houston will get shut out for a second week in a row … The Patriots are giving plenty of factors for a workforce that has solely scored greater than 17 as soon as. On the identical time, the Texans are averaging 4½ factors of their previous two video games and appeared like a semi-pro workforce final week towards the Payments … Whereas nonetheless paying Deshaun Watson to not play for them, the Texans proceed to trot out Mills, who has thrown two landing passes and 5 interceptions whereas being sacked eight occasions in three video games … In opposition to the Payments, the Texans main rusher (Mark Ingram) had 24 yards and, in catchup mode all day, their main receiver (Brandin Cooks) had 47 yards … Mac Jones is coming off the primary multi-TD move recreation … Patriots have a 10-3 report within the sequence regardless of dropping the previous two video games, each in Houston.

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TAKING: NEW ENGLAND -9

SCORE: Patriots 20, Texans 3

BILLS 3-1 AT CHIEFS 2-2

LINE: Kansas Metropolis by 2 1/2

CHEWABLE: We marvel what number of occasions a workforce has been listed because the underdog coming off a 40-0 win. Not simply that, however a canine vs. an opponent that has allowed the second-highest factors per recreation common within the league. The Chiefs deserve all of the respect on this planet for what they’ve finished the previous three years, however come on, they’re final within the division and could be 1-3 had the Browns not self-destructed in Week 1, maybe winless had the Eagles not had three TDs referred to as again by penalties final week … The Payments have obliterated each opponent since dropping their house opener to Pittsburgh, beating Miami, Washington and Houston by a mixed scored of 118-21 … The humorous factor is, Josh Allen isn’t but being talked about in MVP speak, nor ought to he be. His 63.1% completion notion is twenty seventh amongst beginning quarterbacks, and he’s 14th in passing yards. … Oh yeah, the Chiefs have coated simply three of their previous 15 spreads.

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TAKING: BUFFALO +2 1/2

SCORE: Payments 36, Chiefs 30

SURVIVOR POOL PICK (4-0: Niners, Packers, Cardinals, Payments)

DOLPHINS 1-3 AT BUCCANEERS 3-1

LINE: Tampa by 10

CHEWABLE: Dolphins beat the Patriots by one, Bucs beat the Patriots by two. So Tampa wins this one by a single level, proper? Extra possible two touchdowns. Neither the Bucs nor Tom Brady had been superb towards Patriots for what was referred to as the “largest regular-season recreation in workforce historical past.” Actually, they had been fortunate to flee with a win. Time for them to get on monitor towards a workforce that’s smelling like unhealthy Fish … Solely Houston and Atlanta have a worst factors differential than the Dolphins’ -47 … Dolphins are final within the league at changing third downs. Tampa snuffed out 7-of-9 such tries by the Pats final week.

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TAKING: TAMPA -10

SCORE: Bucs 40, Dolphins 17

THE REST

JETS 1-3 AT FALCONS 1-3

LINE: Atlanta by 3

CHEWABLE: The Jets are flying excessive off an sudden win. Regardless of throwing an interception to extend his league-leading whole to eight, Zach Wilson had his greatest day within the NFL and the Jets pulled off Week 4’s largest upset by knocking off the Titans … The Falcons will likely be with out their high WR as Calvin Ridley didn’t make the journey to London due to “private” causes … The Falcons wasted a four-TD, zero-INT day by Matt Ryan in a 34-30 loss to Washington final week … Not solely is he nonetheless a very good return man, Cordarrelle Patterson has grow to be the Falcons’ most harmful weapon. He has scored 5 occasions in 4 video games and posted back-to-back outings of greater than 100 scrimmage yards. He was Atlanta’s high operating again and high receiver towards WFT … The Falcons defence is weak, surrendering a league excessive 32 factors per recreation … The Jets D is high 5 in third-down conditions and within the crimson zone.

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TAKING: NEW YORK +3

SCORE: Jets 21, Falcons 20

BRONCOS 3-1 AT STEELERS 1-3

LINE: Pittsburgh by 1

CHEWABLE: How do you will have underdog standing with two extra wins than your opponent? When your No. 1 quarterback is in concussion protocol, that’s how. The road will certainly transfer if a thumbs up is given to Teddy Bridgewater, who performed effectively within the Broncos first three video games. The less-experienced Drew Lock may have extra hassle coping with the Pittsburgh strain … In the meantime, Vic Fangio’s entrance seven will likely be going onerous at Ben Roethlisberger, who has had very poor safety from his new line presently thought-about the worst within the league … Over/underneath dipped to 39.5, which ought to be inviting you to go on the low facet. Each groups have been underneath in all 4 of their video games to this point … The Broncos are 4-1 ATS relationship again to final season, whereas the Steelers are 1-5 of their previous six at Heniz.

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TAKING: PITTSBURGH -1

SCORE: Steelers 17, Broncos 14

EAGLES 1-3 AT PANTHERS 3-1

LINE: Carolina by 3

CHEWABLE: The Panthers had been busy constructing a fame as a defensive superpower (towards creampuffs) within the first three weeks earlier than the Cowboys lit them up for 36 factors … The Eagles have the second-worst run defence, so even with out Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers ought to have the ability to transfer the ball alongside the bottom. In final week’s eight-point loss to the Cowboys, Canadian Chuba Hubbard did an honest job as a fill-in with 57 yards on 13 carries, whereas QB Sam Darnold ran throughout the aim line twice to provide him 5 TDs in 4 video games … Quite extremely, Eagles managed to attain 30 factors whereas lacking 4 beginning O-linemen in a loss to Chiefs … Ought to they determine to make use of him, Miles Sanders can have some success operating towards a defence that was uncovered and stomped on by Ezekiel Elliott. Their high RB is averaging simply over 9 carries a recreation, a quantity that has steadily declined since he rushed the ball 15 occasions for 74 yards within the season opener — which additionally simply occurs to be Philly’s solely win to date … The Eagles want this yet one more than the Panthers.

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TAKING: PHILADELPHIA +3

SCORE: Eagles 25, Panthers 21

SAINTS 2-2 AT FOOTBALL TEAM 2-2

LINE: New Orleans by 2

CHEWABLE: Whereas Washington had a comeback win towards Atlanta final week, the Saints had been main Giants 21-10 with just below seven minutes left after they gagged and misplaced in OT. Nothing mistaken with the New Orleans offence — Alvin Kamara ran for 120 yards and Jameis Winston accomplished 73.9% of his passes for a season-high 226 yards with out throwing an interception. However the identical defence that held the Packers to a subject aim in Week 1 had a meltdown towards the beforehand winless New Yorkers … Antonio Gibson ought to have the ability to have as a lot success as Saquon Barkley, who had 52 yards speeding with a TD and 74 yards receiving with a TD … The Saints have coated six of their previous eight street video games … Anticipating one other first rate day from QB Taylor Heinicke and the Washington D to lastly present up for the 2021 season.

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TAKING: WASHINGTON +2

SCORE: Soccer Group 24, Saints 20

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PACKERS 3-1 AT BENGALS 3-1

LINE: Inexperienced Bay by 3

CHEWABLE: A lot depends upon the supply of Joe Mixon, who suffered a “low-grade” ankle sprain late within the win over Jacksonville and has not practised this week. Mixon is third in NFL speeding and each bit as invaluable to the Bengals as Aaron Jones is to the Packers … WR Tee Higgins is anticipated to return from a one-week stint on the shelf, including to the Bengals’ robust air arsenal … Joe Burrow is coming off his first 300-yard recreation of the season. He teamed for 5 receptions, 95 yards and two TDs with TE C.J. Uzomah, who entered the sport with simply 4 catches … Inexperienced Bay has a key harm of its personal as CB Jaire Alexander, who would have been chasing Ja’Marr Chase, is anticipated to overlook the sport with a shoulder harm … Bengals move rush ought to have the ability to put some strain on conceited Aaron Rodgers … The Bengals can match their 2020 whole and double their 2019 whole with a victory … The Bengals are 5-2 of their previous seven as a ’canine at Paul Brown … The Packers have gone house losers from their previous two visits to Cincinnati.

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TAKING: CINCINNATI +3

SCORE: Packers 30, Bengals 28

LIONS 0-4 AT VIKINGS 1-3

LINE: Minnesota by 9 1/2

CHEWABLE: Good bounce-back alternative for Vikings, who turned in a depressing efficiency whereas dropping 14-7 to Cleveland on house turf final week … The Vikings are historically the Lions’ worst nightmare, successful 78 of 119 conferences and the previous seven … TheLions are 9-20 ATS as canines of six or extra factors relationship again to 2011 … If Dalvin Cook dinner (ankle) does play, it’s unlikely he’ll be himself. Cook dinner got here again from lacking Week 3 to hold the ball 9 occasions for 34 yards within the loss to the Browns … The Lions have key accidents within the trenches, on either side of the ball … The Lions are twenty seventh in third-down conversion proportion whereas the Vikes defence is seventh in the identical class … The Lions are one among two winless groups whereas struggling largest margins of defeat towards NFC rivals Inexperienced Bay (18 factors) and Chicago (10 factors). Pondering they will sneak in they will sneak within the again door right here.

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TAKING: DETROIT +9 1/2

SCORE: Vikings 27, Lions 20

BEARS 2-2 AT RAIDERS 3-1

LINE: Las Vegas by 5 1/2

CHEWABLE: Justin Fields selected to observe recreation movie together with his canine Uno fairly than have fun together with his mother and father when he was named Bears beginning QB “going ahead” this week by Matt Nagy. What he noticed was a Raiders defence that’s twenty third in run defence, however what he is aware of is Bears RB David Montgomery (knee) is out and his backup, Damien Williams, will likely be taking part in with a thigh bruise. He additionally watched a Raiders D that’s twelfth towards the move, however now has some accidents within the secondary. In simply his third begin, Fields must enhance on his greatest day (209 yards) to maintain tempo with Derek Carr, who’s main the league with 1,399 yards passing and is coming off his first lack of the season … Joey Bosa possible did the Bears no favours when he mentioned Carr “shuts down” underneath somewhat strain after the Chargers defeated the Raiders final week. But when there’s any fact to the declare, that’s excellent news for the Bears, who lead the league in workforce sacks with 15 … The Bears’ weak O-line may have its fingers full with Yannick Ngakoue and Maxx Crosby, who’s tied for second within the league with 13 quarterback hits.

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TAKING: CHICAGO +5 1/2

SCORE: Raiders 21, Bears 17

BROWNS 3-1 AT CHARGERS 3-1

LINE: Los Angeles by 2

CHEWABLE: Browns QB Baker Mayfield has reportedly performed the previous two weeks with {a partially} torn labrum in his non-throwing shoulder. That will, and has, affected his passing, as he has accomplished 34-of-64 passes in what had been nonetheless two Cleveland victories. Good factor the Browns have such an excellent operating recreation. With Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, Cleveland ranks first in yards speeding per recreation (177). Whereas the Chargers are first in run defence on early downs, which may pressure Mayfield into throwing the ball, solely three groups have allowed extra speeding yards per recreation than the 139.5 they’ve surrendered … Justin Herbert’s 113 completions are second solely to Tom Brady (119), whereas he owns a 9/3 TD-to-interception ratio … Chargers RB Austin Ekeler scored two TDs and had his greatest speeding recreation (117 yards) of the season in Monday’s spectacular 28-14 win over the beforehand unbeaten Raiders … The Browns have misplaced their previous 5 journeys to Chargers-land, whether or not or not it’s Los Angeles or San Diego … The Browns have coated six of their previous seven street video games.

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TAKING: LOS ANGELES -2

SCORE: Chargers 31, Browns 28

NINERS 2-2 AT CARDINALS 4-0

LINE: Arizona by 5

CHEWABLE: The Cardinals scored the largest win of the season by any workforce final week after they clobbered the Rams to declare themselves the perfect workforce within the NFL. Meaning they need to be ripe for the selecting in Week 5. Drawback is, Jimmy Garoppolo (calf) was on the sidelines once more for Thursday’s observe and it’s wanting very very like Trey Lance will make his first NFL begin on Sunday. Nearly as good as he will be, it’s an excessive amount of to count on the 21-year-old, third-overall decide to step proper in and knock off the highest workforce … The Playing cards are 5-1-1 ATS up to now seven conferences … The Niners are 4-1 ATS of their previous 5 on the street … Tough to think about Lance maintaining with Murray in his debut.

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TAKING: ARIZONA -5

SCORE: Cardinals 33, Niners 21

GIANTS 1-3 AT COWBOYS 3-1

LINE: Dallas by 7

CHEWABLE: The Giants are taking up their fierce division rival feeling good about themselves, recent off their first victory of the season and with OC Jason Garrett little doubt sure he has a plan to use his outdated workforce’s defence. Good luck with that. Oh, New York ought to have the ability to rating some factors, if Daniel Jones doesn’t fall into his outdated turnover methods, now that Saquon Barkley appears to be again to hurry. However few can decelerate the Cowboys steamroller. Dallas is second in speeding yards per recreation and fourth in factors per recreation, and the Giants simply don’t have the defence to maintain them shut … The Cowboys are the one workforce within the NFL 4-0 ATS … Cowboys DC Dan Quinn’s has his defence sixth in speeding yards allowed per recreation at 81 … Cowboys have already got a powerful +7 in turnover differential … Dallas has received 12 of the previous 16 conferences with Giants.

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TAKING: DALLAS -7

SCORE: Cowboys 31, Giants 19

COLTS 1-3 AT RAVENS 3-1

LINE: Baltimore by 7

CHEWABLE: Any individual likes the Ravens. They’re already taking part in their third prime-time recreation of the season … Lamar Jackson had his first 300-yard passing recreation final week in Baltimore’s third and most thorough victory of the season, a 23-7 remaining in Denver. He additionally rushed for less than 28 yards, his third-lowest whole in 40 begins, since his debut within the position on Nov. 11, 2018 … The Colts acquired off the snide with their first victory, lastly getting RB Jonathan Taylor over the 100-yard mark … The Colts must get the Ravens in third-down conditions. They rank thirty first with regards to changing them … TheRavens have coated their previous 4 house video games … The Ravens will likely be attempting to interrupt the NFL report for many consecutive 100-yard speeding video games, which they controversially tied final week … Don’t be stunned in the event that they’re not in place of getting the choice to take a knee on the ultimate play.

TAKING: INDIANAPOLIS +7

SCORE: Ravens 23, Colts 20

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