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Brewers have not initiated renewal talks with ace Corbin Burnes


Beer seller on the right Corbin Burnes is nearing the end of its third consecutive stellar campaign, establishing itself as one of the best pitchers in baseball. After this season, he will have just two years in control of the team, making him a pretty reasonable extension candidate. However, Burnes said Adam McCalvy of MLB.com that no such negotiations have taken place.

“You would think,” Burnes said when asked if this holiday season is a good time to start negotiations. “You would think there might have been some initial talks last season, but nothing.”

Burnes has struggled a bit to get used to the majors, especially in 2019. That year, he allowed a staggering 17 home runs in just 49 innings, making for an HR/ratio FB shocking 38.6% and ERA 8.82. However, he took the championship ship in 2020, throwing 59 2/3 innings in a shortened season with a 2.11 ERA, 36.7% hit rate and 46.4% ball hit rate. . His 10% walk rate is a bit high, but it’s still an excellent breakout.

While some might write this as a small flash-in-the-pan sample, Burnes quickly dismissed those concerns in 2021. He threw 167 innings that year at an ERA of 2 .43, 35.6% hit rate, 48.8% ground and cut rate, his effective walking rate halved to 5.2%. He was awarded the National League Cy Young for that elite season and is back on the pitch at almost the same level in 2022.

While the Brewers are certainly delighted to see Burnes blossom to this extent, it does mean he’s going to be a hit. He met the referee for the first time last season and is earning $6.5 million in 2022. As he has another stellar season, he will have to get another huge raise in 2023 and likely in 2024. For a pitcher of Burnes’ caliber, it would still be amazing value, although it does increase the chances of the team considering a purchase. After all, the Brewers came up with another excellent pitcher that is getting expensive: Josh Hader.

Hader is not an exact comparison to Burnes, as he is a painkiller and also qualifies for Super Two status, which means he will get four rides through the referee instead. father. However, there are also similarities. At the time of this year’s trade, Hader had made $11 million and had a year and a half left of control of the group. Burnes will likely receive the same salary next year and will have similar control as the deadline approaches. The similarities are not lost on Burnes.

“For anyone that’s not a long-term deal, once you get into the final years of arbitration, anything can happen,” Burnes said. “We saw it with Hader. We might see it this season. I don’t know which way the front office will go.” Burnes then added, “Who knows what will happen this season. Who knows what will happen on the next trading deadline. At this point there are a few boys left from our 2018 and ’19 post-season teams, and it’s like, this could be the last year. Maybe next year is the last year. Maybe we’ll have two more years. We don’t really know. Looking at it like that, it’s hard not to know what’s going to happen.”

With most other teams, it would be a no-brainer to keep an ace like Burnes through the referee and maybe even renew him. However, the Brewers were never really big spenders, and financial concerns would creep into whatever they did. They paid Opening Day salaries of $132 million this year, according to Cot’s baseball contract. That leaves them 19th out of 30 teams in the league, spending less than half what teams like the Dodgers and Mets spend, though it still represents a high level of franchise.

Lorenzo CainMy contract will be done after this year, which will open the door for another important contract besides Christian Yelich on the ledger. However, Burnes is not the only player Milwaukee will have to think about. Brandon Woodruff, Willy Adames, Adrian Houser and Eric Lauer in the same position as Burnes, going through arbitration with upcoming free agency after the 2024 season. If the Brewers have some pay space to work with, they might want to use it for some in that group instead of Burnes, since they will all likely fall a little behind him in terms of income size.

After all, an extension to a vase of Burnes’ caliber won’t come cheap. As of February 2014, there have only been six renewals for pitchers starting from four to five years of service, which is where Burnes will be this winter. Out of those six, one of them is a veteran journeyman Wade LeBlanc, who is not a good comparison for Burnes. Nor is it Mike Clevinger, who signed a two-year contract that covers his final seasons of refereeing while he prepares for surgery on Tommy John. The Rockies recently launched extensions for Kyle Freeland and Marquez the Germaneach received five years and more than $50 million, though nowhere near Burnes’ level. Kyle Hendricks received $55.5 million four years back in 2019 after years of steady performance, though Burnes has yet to reach the elite level.

Perhaps the best comparison is Jacob deGrom, who signed a 4-year, $120.5 million extension in March 2019. He has agreed to a $17 million salary for 2019, with this new extension covering the following 4 years. deGrom just ended an extraordinary 2018 season, as he threw 217 innings with a 1.70 ERA, a 32.2% hit rate, a 5.5% walk rate and a 46.4% hit rate. While that 1.70 ERA is slightly better than the numbers Burnes posted, the other numbers are pretty comparable. deGrom has also entered the season 31 years old, reflecting his late bloomer trajectory. Burnes turns 28 in October, meaning he can fully expect a commitment longer than what deGrom received.

Only once have the Brewers ever gone into nine-figure territory on a single contract, a nine-year, $188.5 million term awarded to Yelich in March 2020. That deal remains on the books. for a while, paying Yelich $26 million annually between now and the end of the 2028 season. The Burnes expansion would require yet another contract with an average annual value in that vicinity, even potentially higher body. If the club continues to run out of staff similar to the $132 million figure on Opening Day this year, the Burnes expansion means that almost half of their budget is spent on just two players.

Thanks in large part to an stellar sales staff, Brewers has consistently competed in recent years, despite modest spending. They have qualified for post-season in each of the previous four seasons, including a pair of division titles. Despite a tough time here at the end of 2022, they are still in the mix to qualify for the knockout stages once again, sitting two games behind the Padres for the final wild card spot. However, with many of their core players continuing to earn higher salaries, they may have to make some tough decisions about who they want to try to retain and who are candidates. chase Hader out of town.





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