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Calgary election: Gondek leading Farkas in close race for mayor, according to new poll – Calgary


With two weeks left till election day, a brand new ballot exhibits a tightening race and new frontrunner within the bid to be Calgary’s subsequent mayor.

The ballot, carried out by Leger for the Calgary Firefighters Affiliation between Oct. 1 and 4, has Ward 3 Coun. Jyoti Gondek within the lead with 27 per cent of determined voters.

Ward 11 Coun. Jeromy Farkas, who has led each ballot all through the marketing campaign, is barely behind Gondek at 24 per cent.

The ballot confirmed the opposite candidates within the high 5 included Ward 6 Coun. Jeff Davison at 12 per cent, Brad Discipline at 5 per cent and Jan Damery at three per cent.


The ballot, carried out by Leger for the Calgary Firefighters Affiliation, exhibits Jyoti Gondek with a slender lead over Jeromy Farkas within the race for Calgary’s subsequent mayor.


World Information

“It’s largely a two-person race, after which the remaining candidates have remained comparatively constant by way of the place they fall within the polls,” Eddie Sheppard with Leger mentioned. “The hole is unquestionably shortening between Farkas and Gondek.”

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In accordance with the ballot, 29 per cent of respondents stay undecided.

Amongst these undecided voters, the polls confirmed eight per cent had been leaning in the direction of a Gondek vote and 7 per cent in the direction of a Farkas vote.

“I believe given how tight it’s at the moment, I’m undecided there might be a clear-cut winner proper up till actually the day of the election,” Sheppard mentioned.

Learn extra:
Calgary election 2021: Who’s running for mayor?

With such a big portion of the inhabitants undecided, Farkas mentioned his marketing campaign gained’t be letting its foot off the gasoline within the remaining two weeks of the race.

“We’re working as onerous as we will on this remaining stretch to get the vote out and present Calgarians that they’ve a alternative that’s various,” Farkas informed World Information on Tuesday. “Finally, there’s one ballot that counts and that’s election day.”

The Leger ballot additionally recognized a distinction in voters behind the highest two candidates with respondents older than 55 favouring Farkas and people aged between 18 and 44 planning to help Gondek.

In accordance with the ballot, 28 per cent of male respondents and 19 per cent of feminine respondents want Farkas whereas 25 per cent of male respondents and 26 per cent of feminine respondents supported Gondek.

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Learn extra:
Calgary’s municipal election advance polls set to open Monday

“Having momentum, having the ability to present an optimistic, hopeful platform actually shifts in the direction of Jyoti,” Gondek’s marketing campaign supervisor Stephen Carter mentioned. “Folks need to vote for Calgary; they don’t need to be voting in opposition to Calgary.”

The Leger ballot was printed simply weeks after a ThinkHQ poll, carried out between Sept. 13 and 16, confirmed Farkas within the lead with 30 per cent of respondents on the time in help, with Gondek behind the frontrunner at 25 per cent. The ballot additionally confirmed 28 per cent of respondents had been undecided on the time.

In accordance with Mount Royal College political scientist Duane Bratt, the federal election, the provincial COVID-19 response and an increase in engaged municipal voters are all possible elements within the shift in public opinion.

Learn extra:
Voter engagement low ahead of Calgary municipal election advance polls

Nonetheless, Bratt pointed to Calgary metropolis council’s vote to mandate the vaccine passport as a key second between the discharge of each polls.

“Even individuals like Sean Chu and Joe Magliocca, the everyday group that votes the identical manner, all voted in favour of vaccine (passport) mandates and Farkas didn’t,” Bratt mentioned. “I believe that exhibits a little bit of an outlier in a metropolis that helps vaccine (passport) mandates with over 80 per cent.”

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Calgary firefighters

The Leger ballot confirmed robust help for the Calgary Fireplace Division.

Seventy-three per cent of respondents mentioned they’d be much less more likely to vote for a mayoral candidate who proposed to scale back the variety of hearth halls, firefighters or hearth vehicles.

The Calgary Firefighters Affiliation informed World Information the division has taken the brunt of $35 million in cuts.

“Because the metropolis has been getting greater and greater during the last variety of years, the fireplace division has been getting stretched thinner and thinner. So for us, that is an important election in a era,” Calgary Firefighters Affiliation spokesperson Matt Osborne informed World Information.

“So we’re partaking with candidates, we’re partaking with our future leaders to ensure they know that the fireplace division wants the instruments to do our job.”

There are 27 individuals vying to be Calgary’s subsequent mayor within the upcoming election, with greater than 100 candidates working to take a seat on metropolis council representing 14 wards.

Advance voting is open day by day till 7 p.m. and can run till Oct. 10, when it closes at 3 p.m.

Election day is on Oct. 18.

The web survey carried out between Oct. 1 and 4 had 500 voting-aged Calgarians collaborating by means of computer-assisted internet interviewing expertise. A comparable probability-based random pattern of the identical measurement would have a margin of error of 4.3 share factors, 19 occasions out of 20.

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The info was additionally in comparison with an identical ballot carried out from Sept. 24 to 27.




© 2021 World Information, a division of Corus Leisure Inc.





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