Others are not so sure. The Cook Politics Report has predicted Republicans will win 2.5 seats from the redistricting.
Even before there is any push from redistricting, Republicans are not far from capturing the House.
GOP starts with the advantage. It controls more state legislatures and is squeezing more safety seats out of those states.
Republicans control the redistricting process in the states that oversee 179 House seats. Democrats control the process in states overseeing only 75 seats.
Those who remain are either overseen by split governments or bipartisan or nonpartisan committees, or they have a single member of Parliament.
North Carolina is an example. CNN’s John Avlon looked specifically at North Carolina, a state that’s essentially even in the party register between Republicans and Democrats. Still, the state legislature gave Republicans a 10-4 seat advantage in the new congressional map, he said in “New Day.”
Advantage in Texas. It’s a similar story in Texas, where the competition seats were replaced by safety seats and one in favor of Republicans.
There will be legal battles across these various maps, but after the census is delayed due to the Covid-19 pandemic, there will be less time for the courts to work.
Read tea leaves. According to CNN’s Ethan Cohen, who tracks these, more and more Democrats have retired so far in this cycle. He wrote: At this point in the 2020 cycle (November 16, 2019) 28 House members (20 R, 8 D) are on their way out of the chamber at the end of their term, including 6 members (3 R, 3 D ) has run for higher office.
What happened in a month? The seats themselves are unchanged, and Republicans are defending them more. But the landscape is radically different than it was a few months ago, before the Republicans won an uncomfortable victory in the race for governor of Virginia. They still have obstacles and some flawed candidates, Pathe writes.
The GOP is more than excited about its chances in races in states like New Hampshire and Colorado.
From the archives: The Republican Party in Vermont. See this report on the last time a Republican represented Vermont in the Senate. It was 2001 – it wasn’t that long ago, actually. The Republican Party is Senator Jim Jeffords.
Education then and now. I was struck by Jeffords’ frustration with an increasingly conservative GOP. That resonates today.
What I find more interesting is his anger at cutting education funding. Education, we learn from the Virginia governor’s race, will be the top issue for Republicans looking to 2022. The question is whether parents want more money for schools or more individuals. people talk about their children’s experiences.