There are a number of NFL teams that could use a great receiver, and with the success of rookies Justin Jefferson in 2020 and Ja’Marr Chase in 2021, more teams in need of that receiver could be inclined to reach out. with one of the many talent collectors in the 2022 draft class.
That being said, there were only three consensus first-round recipients: Garrett Wilson of Ohio State, Jameson Williams of Alabama and Drake London of USC. Talents like Chris Olave, Christian Watson, Treylon Burks and all the other boys in this year’s class areonly those three are consistently expected to go on Day 1.
The order in which these three receivers will go is still a matter of debate. Most sites believe Wilson will be first, Williams second and London third. According to both OddsChecker US, Wilson has +105 odds (48.8 percent chance) to be the first to receive the ball. Next is Williams with +200 (33.3% chance) and then London with +220 (31.3% chance). Those odds may not seem too far apart, but remember this is Vegas and they love to do this so they don’t lose money if something crazy happens. In fact, Wilson’s +105 odds suggest he’s the clear favorite to be the first wide-ball taken, even though he’s not a runaway.
However, former New York Jets’ GM Mike Tannenbaum has a different view on the matter. Tannenbaum, who also served as the Miami Dolphins’ football executive VP from 2015 to 2018 then founded Team 33believes that not only will London be the first to be knocked out of the table, but that he will break into the top 10. “London is going to the Falcons. [at 8],” Tannenbaum said. “Wilson to the jet plane [at 10] and Williams to the Ravens at the age of 14”
This will be a shock. Not just because of the order in which these receivers went, but also because of how early they were obtained. The over/under for London currently sits at 10.5, but according to OddsChecker spokesman Kyle Newman, London holds “expectations that he will pass.” Few analysts and drafters really expect London to be included anywhere near the top 10.
It’s puzzling. Do oddsmakers and Tannenbaum know something that the rest of the world doesn’t? Oddsmakers are usually pretty good at this type of stuff. If they weren’t, they’d go bankrupt. In 2021, Vegas oddsmakers perfectly predicted the first six picks of the draft. Albeit, 2021 was a much more predictable class than 2022. Therefore, it stands to reason that there’s some truth behind Tannenbaum’s statement.
At the same time, while oddsmakers predicted the first six picks last year flawlessly, they failed to get another selection correct until Rashawn Slater went to the Chargers at 13. So, while oddsmakers think London will go sooner rather than later, they can never be sure. Based on what we’re hearing though, it might be worth it to place a bet down on London being the first receiver selected. His over-under is far lower than where many people thought it would be and with someone as close to the draft as Tannenbaum uttering claims that back up that projection, London would probably be the best bang for your buck option if you had to put some money down. For me though, I’m still holding onto the idea that Wilson will be the first to go.