NFL picks, predictions against the week 12: Packers riot the Rams; Patriots pop Titans; 49ers, Bengali hums again

Thanksgiving weekend marks the end of the November action in the NFL. That means it’s time to boost positive outcomes for game picks and predict against arbitrage.

Week 12 of the 2021 season brings a host of other complicated betting lines and odds. There are some bounce games where a team is only slightly prioritized. That blurs the line between fighting the spread and straightening up

But this is not to be dubbed a forecast without fear. For better or worse, here’s the latest round of pig skin predictions for another 15 game blocking vehicle:

(Allowed game odds of FanDuel)

Cardinal returns to No. 1; Chiefs, Patriots Rise as Cowboys, Bills Drop in Week 12

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NFL picks against disparity for Week 12

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Packers lost a penalty shootout in Minnesota but still came back to roll with Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams in the past game. In this divisional playoff rematch, they’ll be a bit more flexible in their ongoing Lambeau Field game with more AJ Dillon coming in for Aaron Jones. After the goodbyes, Sean McVay’s offense will clean up a few things, leading to an interesting showdown between Rodgers and former NFC North nemesis, Matthew Stafford. Rodgers will certainly make fewer mistakes at home and exploit the weaknesses around Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey better than Stafford against an overactive Green Bay defence.

Pick: The packer wins 30-24 and covers the spread.

  • Thanksgiving: Bear (-3.5, 41.5 o/u) at Lion

Thursday 12:30 p.m. ET, Fox

The Bears will return to starting with Andy Dalton after first-team rookie Justin Fields was ruled out due to his rib injury during the game against the Ravens. The Lions could stick with Tim Boyle instead of Jared Goff, who missed all of Week 11 at the Browns with an oblique injury.

Detroit made some ugly games in Pittsburgh and Cleveland with a rough and heavy defensive approach. But the last two home games against Cincinnati and Philadelphia were disasters. Chicago has good recent history at Ford Field, including two straight wins over Thanksgiving.

The Bears are missing key defensive players but still have plenty of attack in this game to assist Dalton, led by re-run David Montgomery and breakthrough receiver Darnell Mooney. The Lions will try to lead D’Andre Swift to victory in the backyard, but their lack of confidence will make it difficult here. Whether it’s Fields or Dalton, the Bears will come out of their teens scoring and perform enough to delay the end of the Matt Nagy era.

Pick: Bears win 27-17 and that includes the spread.

Result: Bears won 16-14 but failed to cover.

  • Thanksgiving: Raiders at Cowboys (-7.51 o/u)

Thursday 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS

The Raiders are making a tough comeback in the AFC playoff picture. They can no longer hold the ball and play adequately defensively, which is putting a lot of pressure on Derek Carr in what has become a compressed game once again. All of those developments are not good for facing the Cowboys. Dallas got rid of Denver at home but otherwise rolled around at Jerry World.

The Cowboys strike will be free of former Raiders Amari Cooper (COVID-19) and likely also new top target CeeDee Lamb (concussion). They were knocked out of the Kansas City finals last week as both Dak Prescott and the running game struggled. Let’s get them back to basics with the backyard of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, with more short-to-medium passes and still just enough pop with Michael Gallup and Cedrick Willson.

The Raiders can deal some damage with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow inside to Carr, but again he will be surrounded and make serious mistakes when Dan Quinn’s defensive plan confuses him. .

Pick: The Cowboys won 27-17 and that includes the spread.

Result: The Raiders won 36-33.

(Beautiful pictures)

  • Thanksgiving: Bills (-4, 46.5) in Saints

Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Bills failed miserably when the big playing field was taken from Josh Allen and they struggled to back him up with a traditional running game. Allen needed to rely more on his fitness to make plays, taking a cue from what Jalen Hurts did against the Saints defense. Throwing more for Stefon Diggs and Dawson Knox on the short to mid-range routes is also a smart and patient game plan.

The Saints are unlikely to have Alvin Kamara (knee) back in a short week after he missed the past two games. The Bills’ defense should be boosted to prove Jonathan Taylor’s defeat at home was a fluke. Trevor Siemian will see a lot of pressure and won’t see much openness with his limited receiver and tight finisher board.

Pick: The draft wins 27-17 and includes the spread.

Result: The Bills win 31-6 and include the spread.

Sunday 1pm ET, CBS

The Patriots are putting it all together with their defense, special teams, running game and now more from rookie Mac Jones in an efficient down-to-field game. Bill Belchick has been scouted by his former team of defender Mike Vrabel in big positions but Vrabel is dealing with a short hand deck, making their once explosive offensive behavior easy to defend. while they still have a lot of important fundamental holes in the defense. Ryan Tannehill was heavily burned by Belichick during the AFC East game and his sudden decline in the absence of Henry did not bode well for scoring more points than Jones.

Pick: Patriots win 24-10 and coverage.

  • Performance of the week: Giants (+3.5, 46.5 o/u) vs Eagles

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

The Giants will have a tough home game on Monday night against the Buccaneers. The Eagles went on a rampage late in the hour, dealing damage with Jalen Hurts leading a heavy approach. They have also been careful with the limited pick up options for the Hurts. Danel Jones’ team played cheats for the fringe playoff teams ahead of them, including the Saints, Panthers, and Raiders. New York would love nothing more than burning Philadelphia with Saquon Barkley and a high pass percentage game from Jones, who made a few more home runs to beat the Hurts.

Pick: The Giants won 24-23.

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Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

The Jets are resting here because Texas isn’t an effective rush committee team to stay away from the Bills’ old rival QB Tyrod Taylor. Even the rookie running behind Michael Carter, they have a better collection of versatile players to get anyone started facing Taylor. Robert Saleh’s defense also has a bit more punches than David Culley.

Pick: The Jets won 17-14.

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

Tom Brady should feel comfortable moving the ball in the Colts defence, and if Vita Vea returns to the Bucs as expected, they can at least slow Jonathan Taylor down a bit with their solid defence. Brady can quickly turn the game script into a negative and cause Carson Wentz to throw frequently to match, which isn’t ideal for Indianapolis.

Pick: Buccaneers win 28-24 and spread included.

Sunday 1pm ET, CBS

The Falcons are a difficult team to read from week to week but they will make a short trip to Jacksonville on a long week when they will be close to reaching full offensive power. Matt Ryan will recover on the road with help from his various weapons while Trevor Lawrence will continue to work as his team doesn’t know how to use the support he’s received. that.

Pick: The Falcons won 20-17 and took the odds.

(Beautiful pictures)

  • Panthers (-1, 42.5 o/u) in Dolphins

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

Cam Newton is a great fit for the Panthers offense against Christian McCaffrey. The Dolphins won’t have an answer for them running the CMC so often and conditioning Newton again in the red zone. Tua Tagovailoa will continue to be fine but he will get less support from his bursting attacks and defenses.

Pick: The Panthers won 23-20 and covered.

  • Steelers at the Bengals (-3.5 45.5 o/u)

Sunday 1pm ET, CBS

Can the Bengals wipe out the Steelers in one season? Pittsburgh’s defensive injuries are difficult to fix compared to the varied and varied fouls, which the home side certainly had in Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon and J’Marr Chase. Cincinnati’s defense has some holes but could win the crucial battle up front to beat Ben Roethlisberger.

Pick: The Bengals won by 27-24 but could not overcome the margin.

  • Charger (-2.5, 42.5 o/u) in Broncos

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chargers have a game of traps in the department here after high-emotion outnumbered the Steelers in Week 11. But their job is much better than that of the Broncos, whose only asset is goodbye and at home. Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler and the rest of the front line are rolling again and Brandon Staley could have a good plan to put pressure on Teddy Bridgewater.

Pick: Charge win 24-20 and cover.

(Beautiful pictures)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

This battle of these two explosive and balanced criminals will be interesting as Kirk Cousins ​​and Jimmy Garoppolo both keep the heat. Between Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Justin Jefferson, and Adam Theilen, game collectors abound, before getting into strong area-based running games. The Vikings have found a way to win close games, but the 49ers have only regained their confidence in home games. Kyle Shanahan has a better offensive mind than a moderately defensive Mike Zimmer.

Pick: The 49ers win 31-27 and that includes the spread.

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Browns should bring back Kareem Hunt to pair up with Nick Chubb and continue to ignite the attack with an ideal first approach for Kevin Stefanski. Baker Mayfield was on fire around this time last season and will be looking to calm more skeptics by playing well in a qualifying game and overcoming his injuries. Lamar Jackson was rested from illness in Week 11 and making this an interesting affair Cleveland needed a little more than Baltimore. Team Raven won with more of Jackson’s later heroes, but it didn’t come easy.

Pick: The Ravens won by a score of 24-21 but could not overcome the spread.

  • Seahawks (-1.46 o/u) in Washington

Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Seahawks don’t seem to be interested in Russell Wilson as they’re stuck between wanting to be a runner despite being ineffectual and a big passing team with few options. The defense played better late in the game, but that didn’t matter much because complementary football was no longer a possibility for Pete Carroll. Ron Rivera’s football team is hot about the Taylor Heinicke deal and it’s happening here again.

Pick: Washington won 27-24.

Vinnie Iyer’s 2021 picks:

  • Week 11 record compared to the difference: 7-7
  • Record week 11 straight up: 8-6
  • ATS season: 88-74
  • Straight up season: 105-58

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