Betting on NFL games is hard enough, but you know what’s even harder? Bet on NFL pre-season games. Guess which game is the hardest to bet on? Week 1. You know why? You simply don’t know whether the starters will play, and if they will, how much will they play? It’s a total guessing game.
Now, does that mean you shouldn’t bet on pre-season? Absolutely not. What about Week 1 of pre-season? No, but be careful. A lot of teams simply won’t play their starters or key players in pre-season to avoid injury. Just look at last week’s Hall of Fame Game between Jacksonville and Las Vegas – the first pre-season game of the year.
The Jags team sitting at the starting midfield was Trevor Lawrence, running behind Travis Etienne and James Robinson, the wide midfielders Marvin Jones Jr. and Christian Kirk, full-back Evan Engram, line-ups Brandon Scherff and Cam Robinson and line-backs Josh Allen and Devin Lloyd. All 10 are expected starters for Jacksonville.
How did Jags fight against Las Vegas? Well, they lost to the Raiders, 11/27. But sometimes you don’t find out who’s in and who’s out until a few hours before the game starts. So make sure you wait until you find out who is playing before placing any pre-season bets.
However, some teams have played well in pre-season – like New England and Baltimore. The Raven has won 20 games in a row pre-season games, and the Patriots won all three of their pre-season games last season and were 6-1 in their final seven pre-season games. It’s not just a coincidence. Both of these teams have a long tradition of winning, have as much depth as any team in the league and do a great job judging talent. That’s why you should bet on both on Thursday.
New York Giants and New England Patriots
I often say bring New England to the cash flow, but New York Giants first-year head coach Brian Daboll said Earlier this week, his starters will play on Thursday, including a rerun of Saquon Barkley and quarterback Daniel Jones. It wouldn’t be surprising if people started playing the first half of the quarter or even the first quarter. However, it is unknown how long the beginners will play, so avoid New England on the front line.
However, appreciate New England (+3). You don’t get even odds, but at -110 it’s still worth the bet. As for future Hall of Famer Bill Belichick, it’s no surprise that he’s quite the mom in terms of whether or not his starters will play. Don’t be surprised if the Patriots start plays two or three series and expects ready-to-use backups. Few teams in the league are as well coached as New England.
It’s not like starting quarterback Mac Jones is a veteran. Jones could be considered a starter, but he’s only in his sophomore year. Hopefully Jones will have a good time on this one with the rest of the beginners.
Joe Judge and Matt Patricia have returned to New England as assistant offensive coaches, and although the Patriots have not listed who is the team’s offensive coordinator, expect both to participate in the calling of plays. . The problem is that they don’t have much experience doing that with the Patriots because former Raiders offensive coordinator and current head coach Josh McDaniels has called games over 15 seasons with New England. That’s more of a reason to spread New England – Judge and Patricia need some meaningful representation in that role.
But the biggest reason for bringing New England forward? Previous pre-season matches between the two. The Pats have won or lost by no more than 3 points against the Giants for 4 consecutive seasons. That convinces me enough to think that this game will be over, and eventually, New England will be able to cover (+3) above the spread.
Titans vs. Ravens
For Baltimore, 20 wins in a row in pre-season isn’t a stroke of luck. As long as the scoreboard remains, Raven always seems to be ready to compete. Doesn’t matter if anyone starts playing. Reserves are prepared to win – and can even be expected to win. Ravens . head coach John Harbaugh said quarterback Lamar Jackson, tight finisher Mark Andrews along with several other starters won’t be playing on Thursday, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t take Raven to win. That just means more playtime for those trying to form a team or earn a starting point, which means more meaningful game action.
Derrick Henry has limited his reps so far in training camp and is not expected to play in any pre-season games for the Titans. Raven advantage. Even when Henry played only a bunch, he’s dangerous every time he touches the ball.
Third-round pick Malik Wills will most likely play the full half, which could decide the outcome. The current, how he plays a total toss. Rookie defenders are hard to judge, especially in pre-season. Same goes for the first Treylon Burks pick. Will the wide receiver even broadcast? If yes, how much? We simply won’t know until the start.
But 20 consecutive wins is 20 consecutive wins. Until Baltimore’s streak is over, you should keep putting Raven on the money line.
Bet: New England (+3) vs New York Giants (-110 via FanDuel)
Bet $110 to win $100
Baltimore (ML) over Tennessee (-190)
Bet $190 to win $100