Nothing can quench the excitement of NFL fans when it comes to Thanksgiving Day football. Lions is a 0-9-1 victory? Who cares? Maybe they’ll get a win over the Bears in the end. The Cowboys, a team that just scored nine points, are facing off against the reeling Raiders? Let’s see which team will be out of its game.
That’s right, no matter how out-of-phase (or bad) the games may be, NFL fans will be locked in for all three games, including the Saints vs. Bills. That’s partly down to tradition, but also because NFL viewers are, frankly, happy to watch any of the league’s offerings – regardless of whether they complain about bad coaching, playing, or running. to what extent.
Of course, some may be watching Thanksgiving Day games because they’re betting on the action. Thanksgiving Day can be a lucrative day for bettors, as the week-long period between Weeks 11 and 12 of the season introduces additional variables that casual gamblers may not notice. much to come. That’s why it’s important to keep an eye on the latest NFL odds, trends and spread to see if there’s any good value on the Thanksgiving Day block vehicle.
Usually, injury has a big effect on the bets a gambler might consider. We don’t know who will gem for the Bears or the Lions in their early afternoon game. The Cowboys will also drop some cash machines for their late afternoon game.
Meanwhile, the Saints are hoping that Alvin Kamara and the team’s two starting attacking balls will be able to return to action. The short week can make things a little more complicated for New Orleans.
All six teams that played on Thanksgiving lost in Week 11, so all will be looking to come back and win in Week 12. Does that mean the games will be closer than expected? Or will games with a large talent disparity see the dominant side take its A game and win with instant ease and countering the disparity? Soon, we will find out.
NFL Odds for Thanksgiving 2021
Follow FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last Updated: Tuesday, November 23
NFL Score Spread
|Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions||Spend -3.5|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys||DAL -7|
|Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints||BUF -4|
NFL Cash Flow
|Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions||CHI -190|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys||DAL -330|
|Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints||BUF -210|
|Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions||41.5|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys||51|
|Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints||46.5|
Best NFL Bets on Thanksgiving Games
Raiders (+7) at Cowboys
The Cowboys will probably beat the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day, but expecting Dallas to win by a plus to earn the cover seems a bit overwhelming. Why? It’s all about his received weapons – or lack thereof.
Dak Prescott has always been reluctant to get talent when it comes to Thanksgiving, as Amari Cooper tested positive for COVID-19 last week. He hasn’t been vaccinated, so he’s out of Week 11 and will also miss Week 12.
Cooper’s absence from Week 11 was the first game since 2018 that Prescott didn’t have Cooper at his disposal. It had a big effect on the result, as the Cowboys’ foul behavior was altered. Prescott threw just 216 yards and two interceptions. The Cowboys only scored nine points.
If this was just a one-time thing, it wouldn’t be a big deal. However, Prescott has struggled without Cooper in the past. Just look at his per-game breakdown in 2018 before the Cowboys traded for Cooper and after them. Cooper has proven to be a major, much-needed upgrade for the team’s receptive corps.
|Dak Prescott||Complete %||Horizontal pass||Overcoming TDs||Interceptor|
|With Amari Cooper||71.3||274.2||1.6||0.4|
|No Amari Cooper||62.1||202.4||1.1||0.6|
That was a couple of seasons ago, but there’s a reason Dallas will be a bit slower offensively than usual. That’s especially true when CeeDee Lamb, the group’s other passive receiver, is dealing with a concussion and is unlikely to compete on Thursday.
Prescott also had trouble handling the inactive Tyron Smith fruit. Smith missed the last three Cowboys games through injury, and Prescott’s performance in those games fell short of his games against Smith during the 2021 NFL season.
|Dak Prescott||Complete %||Horizontal pass||Overcoming TDs||Interceptor||Number of times removed|
|With Tyron Smith||73.2||302.2||2.7||0.7||1.3|
|No Tyron Smith||62.8||248||1.3||first||2.3|
So if those three main actors – Cooper, Lamb and Smith – are all out on Thursday, the Raiders might have a better chance than most people realize to keep this under wraps. And I know, the Raiders have lost three games in a row with at least TD, so they’re not the hottest bet, but they trailed the Bengals by just 3 points with 10 minutes left in the fourth quarter last week. They just broke up.
If Derek Carr can avoid the spin, the Raiders should cover this disparity in a low-scoring, close game. NS BELOW 51 (-115) Also seems like a great bet on this game, as the two sides shouldn’t match more than 50 points unless Prescott has a surprisingly big game.
NFL POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys slip after losing against the Chiefs
Bear in Lion: BELOW 41.5 (-105)
Under betting is never fun, especially when you do it in an indie game. Like, come on, you have really Want to root the team to score? What fun is that?
Well, the fun is fading two of the worst offenses in the NFL and having to laugh at their incompetence at stuffing your face full of turkeys.
The Lion and the Bear are both confused about the attack behavior. Detroit has no weapons at the pick up location and will rely on TJ Ho Chickenon in the tight end and rerun D’Andre Swift to deal the majority of damage this time around. Those players will either have to pass playing with Jared Goff in midfield or Tim Boyle, who threw 77 yards and two interceptions on his debut. He has a QBR of 6.7 throughout the game.
As for Chicago, they have some solid pieces. Darnell Mooney is emerging as the #1 potential collector; David Montgomery is a solid defender; even full-back Justin Fields has potential and has made some solid efforts this season.
This is the problem. One, The Hurt Field. That means Andy Dalton will be in action if Fields’ bruised ribs don’t heal quickly. Two, Matt Nagy is the team’s coach.
Nagy once won the NFL’s Coach of the Year award, but it felt like it was in another life. He hasn’t done anything with the Bears’ offense in years, and in 2021 they’re averaging just 287.9 yards per game, second-least in the NFL just ahead of the Texans. And in terms of points per game, they ranked 4th worst with 16.3 points per game. That was before the Texans, Jaguars and – you guessed it – Lions.
This game must be a low score game. Neither team enjoyed consistent quarterback play and no offensive behavior was particularly explosive. The Bears won 24-14 earlier in the season against the Lions, and that’s when the Bears really got on with it. They are playing worse, so expect a 17-14 style game that could be in the cards this week.
PICTURE OF PLAYING NFL: Update AFC seeds, NFC, matches after Week 11
Bills (-4) in Saints
Look, I know that the Bills didn’t do well at the end of the year. They’ve only lost 2-3 in their last five games and they haven’t beaten many good teams this year. Their best win, which was against the Chiefs, was certainly impressive, but beyond that, they’ve largely beaten weaker opponents.
However, Bill of Exchange should be preferred here for one simple reason. The Saints, as built today, are weaker competitors. The team has lost three games in a row with Trevor Siemian starting in midfield as a substitute for Jameis Winston and their offense quite evident in their losing streak.
Some will point to the fact that The Saints had 29 points against the Eagles last week. However, Philadelphia took a 33-7 lead into the final half and got off the station late. That allows the Saints to get a junk time score and makes the score look better than it is.
The Saints would have no such luxury compared to the Bill. Sure, the Colts only dropped 41 shots, but all they did was run the ball. The Saints will not have such luxury unless Alvin Kamara returns from a knee injury that has sidelined him every last fortnight.
Even with Kamara returning, both of the team’s top attacking players, Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk, missed the game against the Eagles. That greatly weakened the Saints’ front and allowed the Eagles to put pressure on them and easily blow up running matches. The Bills and their strong, deep defense should do the same.
Betting on The Saints as underdog has been a losing strategy in the past. They are 8-3 against a spread as a house dog since 2011. The 72.7 coverage is the third best in the NFL over the past decade.
But this is simply not something that Saints fans have known over the years. It’s not explosively offensive and if they fall behind, they’ll have a hard time coming back in this game. Perhaps if Kamara, Armstead and Ramczyk could return, the Saints would be a nice value. But for now, the better way to play would be to roll with the Bills as they look to recover from a humiliating 41-15 loss to the Colts.