“It’s been a very fast and explosive wave that will come very quickly and hopefully go very quickly.”
“Mumbai has passed its peak, Maharashtra will peak in the first week of February.”
“Most parts of India could peak between the 1st and 15th of February. Some places in March the Omicron will be much less and hopefully we will have an uninterrupted India. April onwards,” said Joshi, also an endocrinologist at Lilavati Hospital, Mumbai.
Recent projections by researchers at the Indian Institute of Science and the Indian Institute of Statistics (IISc-ISI) suggest that the country is likely to see more than 10k COVID cases per day by the end of January. / early February when the third wave peaked .
Omicron ‘January-March 2022 Predictions IISc-ISI Model’ by Professor Siva Athreya, Professor Rajesh Sundaresan and team from the Center for Cyber Intelligence at IISc-ISI in Bengaluru predict that a third COVID wave may peak in late January and early – February, with daily cases touching 10 lakhs.
The peak of the third wave will be different for different states and the COVID-19 curve for India could start to flatten out in early March.
Joshi also noted that the reduction in Omicron cases will also lead to the end of the third wave in India. However, Delta’s presence in “small pockets” could cause some trouble, he said.
“If there are no new variants to worry about, then we are probably looking for disruption free COVID life,” he noted.
However, Dr Vikas Maurya, HoD and director of the pulsation department, Fortis Hospital, Shalimar Bagh, say it may be too early to predict the end of COVID-19.
“Gradually it could lead to a circulation of the virus with the continued emergence of a few cases over the next few months or with recurrent episodes of infection in marginal cases,” Maurya told IANS. Maurya told IANS.
The Union Ministry of Health and Family Welfare on Tuesday said that India has seen a significant drop in new COVID cases, reporting 2,38,018 new infections in the past 24 hours and a total of 310 deaths. death.
On Monday, the country reported 2,58,089 new cases and 385 deaths.
According to Joshi, the key statistic to look for in Omicron is that 80% of the people are asymptomatic and the need for hospitalization, oxygen and ventilators is much less than in previous waves.
Furthermore, “greater vaccine coverage will inevitably lead to asymptomatic or mild cases rather than severe cases and complete eradication of this virus in the near future,” Maurya said. .
Source: IANS
