the Grizzly Memphis yes only a winner Defensive Player of the Year — Marc Gasol (2013) — but tcaps may change this year. Immediately, Striker Jaren Jackson Jr. is the favorite to win the 2023 DPOY Awards despite playing only 33 games this year. He’s really a big fan. His the odds currently at -110 on FanDuel while the next best odds are in central Brooklyn Nic Claxton at +350. Without a doubt, Jackson is having a phenomenal defensive season. He deserves a lot of praise, but his stats aren’t as great as he looks. According to one viral Reddit thread — at the time of writing this story has over 56,000 upvotes — Jackson’s numbers are inflated when he’s playing at home.
A look at Jackson’s hsplit ome / sugar
At least it has to be said that JJJ’s house/street division is eye-catching. In 16 home games this year, Jackson has 22 steals and 66 saves. Through 17 road games, Jackson has only 12 steals and 37 saves. That’s a 1.95 to 1 road-to-road robbery and a 1.9 to 1 block rate playing at FedExForum. It makes sense for the players to play better at home. However, this difference in magnitude is most questionable.
Previous Year’s Defensive Player Winner
Let’s take a look at the last 30 Winner Defensive Player of the Year. That’s a pretty big data warehouse, isn’t it? It doesn’t matter how many times they steal or block. The only thing we’re looking at is the rate at which these players accumulate their blocks and steals at home versus on the road. Here’s every previous DPOY for accumulating even 1.5 to 1 on-street house rates for steals or assists:
2022 Marcus smart – 1.62 . block ratio
2005Ben Wallace – 1.83 . block ratio
2003Ben Wallace – 1.51 . block ratio
1999 Alonzo’s Funeral – 2.09 . Steal Rate
That’s everyone. Only one of these guys actually has a greater steal rate than Jackson, and that happened 24 years ago during a shortened season of only 50 games. With such a small number of games played, it’s not hard to assume that percentage will return to Earth over the course of the season. Meanwhile, there are no DPOY winners in the last 30 year surpassed Jackson’s rate of 1.9 blocks of street. Only three men have even come close, and one of them is a guard who only scored 18 blocks all season. Basically, the stats we’re seeing from Jackson this season are unprecedented. Even if you don’t think there is foul play going on, these numbers still need further investigation.
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A closer look
Jackson is currently on pace to play 55 games this season, but let’s assume he’ll play 60 by the end of the year. After all, since returning to action on November. 15 Jackson only missed two games. sixty Games played is a safe assumption. At his current pace, Jackson would finish the season with about 62 steals and 187 interceptions, or 1.03 steals per game and 3.12 interceptions per game. About 41 of those steals (1.37 per game) and 124 of those interceptions (4.13 per game) will come home, meaning 21 steals (0.7 per game) and 63 blocking (2.1 per game) will come on the way. At home, Jackson will be 18th in steals per game and first in blocks over 1.4 blocks per game compared to second place Claxton (2.7). On the road, Jackson dropped to fourth in intercepts and 120th in thefts. Those numbers don’t sound like much for a Defensive Player of the Year nominee, do they? Therefore, if Memphis about theory want to make the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year, it’s easy to see why they want his basic defensive stats to look better than they really are.
Memphis Grizzlies are 29th Valuable Franchise in the NBA, and despite their stellar season – yes, as of Friday, they’ve lost 5 games in a row, but won 11 in a row before that – they’re outside the top 20 of the league in attendance. They want their fans to take their seats, and the last two times the Grizzlies finished better than 20th place in attendance were in 2015 and 2013. While those seasons the Grizzlies won 55 and 56 games, respectively, the Grizzlies don’t get the same attendance (in comparison to the rest of the NBA) when they won 56 games in 2022. What’s the difference? I’m reaching, but maybe Marc Gasol’s 2013 Defensive Player of the Year Award has something to do with it. Could the Grizzlies be looking to recreate those situations from a decade ago to increase attendance in the future?
Analysis
Now, the next question on your mind is probably “Where did all this theft and blocking come from? The scorer cannot make steals and saves from thin air. People will notice.” That’s true, but clearly the Grizzlies’ scorer is a certified genius. allegationsedly, these extra steals and blocks are added when Jackson does anything defensive can even be imagined as blocking or stealing. Social media has found many examples from early-season games.
For the sake of transparency, there are others who believe no foul play was involved.
In the tweet above, ESPN’s NBA analyst Kirk Goldsberry claims that, although 66 blocks is a lot, only 2 to 6 of them are truly suspicious, meaning that at worst, JJJ will still have 60 blocks at home for the year (3.75 blocks per game). ).
Only three of the striker’s 66 home saves were wrongly scored by the keeper, based on Kevin O’Connor, a senior basketball writer at The bell ringer.
There’s reason to think the Grizzlies might be interested in padding Jackson’s stats, but there’s also reason to think the NBA would have discovered this sooner if this were true. League already exists rejected post on Reddit, with NBA spokesman Tim Frank stating:
“To ensure the integrity of our game statistics, the auditors, independent of the on-site statisticians, review all plays and statistical decisions in real time in NBA games.
“If changes are needed, they will be made at that time or after a post-match review. All plays questioned in the Memphis game posting are consistently scored according to the rules set forth by the NBA’s statistics handbook.
Furthermore, because the post was originally made, Reddit labeled it “misleading”. Does that mean it’s incorrect? Not necessarily, but it means that the author of the post spoke as if his findings were true when it most likely wasn’t. All in all, it doesn’t seem like anything will go wrong with these potentially fraudulent Jackson attempts to steal and block numbers, and if that’s the case, it’s possible to throw money in Jackson’s block and steal numbers from home. is the best bet you can make for the rest of the season.
