Who will win the election? Trump surges in prediction markets

So far, reliably Republican and Democratic states have been called. Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee and Arkansas are in Donald Trump’s column. Vermont, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois and Delaware are in Kamala Harris’ column.

ARE NOT fluctuating state has yet to be called, but there are signs that Trump has improved on his 2020 performance in other states like Florida and Virginia.

According to KalshiTrump’s margin of victory increased to 69% from 57% earlier in the day. ABOVE Anticipate itThe contract that helped Trump win the election rose to 64 cents from 54 cents on Monday. On the new one Traders forecast IBKR from Interactive Brokers, Trump’s odds increased to 73% from 59% earlier in the day.

Multi-marketa cryptocurrency-based prediction market, showed Trump’s chances rose to 71% Tuesday night from 62% early in the morning.

Meanwhile, Financial markets also began to price in Trump’s victoryas the dollar, Treasury yields, Bitcoin and shares of Trump Media and Technology spiked in after-hours trading.

Last week and over the weekend, the prediction market showed Strong motivation for Harriswho even briefly led on some exchanges.

Harris’s consolidation prospects were closely watched on Saturday Des Moines Register/Communication Iowa Poll conducted by Selzer & Co. shows Harris leads Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters.