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Why did Mike Lynch’s Bayesian yacht sink?



On Thursday, Italian authorities recovered a fifth body from the Bayesian superyacht that sank in a storm earlier this week, killing British tech entrepreneur Mike Lynch.

The 184-foot ship flies the British flag. sunk early monday morningand Five bodies identified so far from the case include Mike LynchFounder of Autonomy and Darktrace; Morgan Stanley International Bank Chairman Jonathan Bloomer and his wife, Judy; Chris Morvillo, a lawyer at Clifford Chance; and his wife, Neda, have also been found. Lynch’s 18-year-old daughter, Hannah, remains missing.

There are several theories as to why the $39 million mega-ship sank in just 60 seconds. And the ship’s builder says the crew should have had time to save the passengers.

Hypothesis 1 — the mast was blown down by the wind

The first theory is that the mast on this giant ship is so tall that it could capsize the ship when a waterspout hits—basically a water tornado—hit the boat. Giovanni CostantinoChief Executive Officer of Italian Sea Groupowns several boat brands including yacht builders, Perini Navi, speak Financial Times The boat was “designed to be completely stable” because it had “the second-tallest mast in the world.” But Karsten Borner, captain of a nearby boat, suggested that the sinking may actually have been caused by high winds hitting the 236-foot mast. Even with the sails down, the mast and its rigging would still provide a large surface area to withstand the wind.

Bayesian “flattening” [with the mast] on the water, and then go down,” Borner speak ReutersFor reference, the tallest mast on a sailing ship on record was the Mirabella V at nearly 247 feet, according to Guinness World Records.

Theory two — the retractable keel is in the wrong position

The second Bayesian hypothesis for what causes sinking is that the keel is retracted when it should be down, making the boat less stable. The keel is a structural beam that runs under the middle of the boat from bow to stern, providing greater stability, a lower center of gravity in the water, and better forward control. According to the boat manufacturer, “Without the keel, the boat can slide or skim across the water.” Born in the sea.

According to yacht manufacturer Perini Navi, the Bayesian has a retractable keel. It can be raised to reduce the boat’s draft, making it easier to enter shallower harbors. There is a possibility that if the keel is in the raised position instead of extended, it could reduce the boat’s stability in strong winds, causing it to capsize.

Third hypothesis — a large hatch was left open to the waves

Perhaps the strongest theory so far is the notion that someone on board may have left a hatch or main door open, causing the boat to quickly fill with water. In fact, Costantino said this is the strongest theory after reviewing footage of the sinking. In fact, The back of the boat appears to have a hinged door. can be folded down to form a sea level floor.

Since it was clear that the Bayesian was taking on water, it would take time to get everyone off the boat and onto the raft. Costantino told FT.

“My God! The hull is intact. Water is pouring in from [hatchways] “There is no other explanation. If handled properly, the boat will handle the weather comfortably—comfortably,” he said.

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